TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,259 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4047…7293backed Yes67c10,336$6,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.164240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c7,906$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.0320140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No36c7,833$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.0215949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes65c7,668$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes64c7,259$4,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.1710357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No36c6,841$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.132857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Yes69c5,964$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes64c4,400$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58422744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No26c3,619$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.627248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No37c3,180$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.592941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9909646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes64c2,847$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.341,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No36c2,700$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.9932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8753834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes64c2,196$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.5918740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No18c1,980$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No36c1,924$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.7231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No37c1,550$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3220447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No7c905$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes64c840.63$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.637732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No20c814.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes64c780$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c698.83$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.074,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22519336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18029751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No36c499.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No37c465.79$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.341250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6816737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed Yes77c389.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd164…d0abbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes66c303.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8212252.5%64 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Yes65c295.87$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.022166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Yes63c281.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d5…cf40backed Yes80c264.43$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.891764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.749357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes63c241.27$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.274146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97cc…bbbfbacked No29c228$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.125259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No34c215.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.486860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes63c211.44$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.233438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes64c203$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7334643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8305…bee1backed Yes63c155.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.56683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No33c155.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f9…d046backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8515558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes64c151.56$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5613342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9329653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.937100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+61.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Yes67c143.91$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.492045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Yes63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.112365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes63c110.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.045853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No35c107.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6937036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes79c100.63$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6244036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354928.6%14 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed No35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-68%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525532.9%84 W · 171 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379738.1%37 W · 60 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x731b…80c0backed Yes69c95.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…9ac0backed Yes65c87.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9e…79fbbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes64c78.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes65c77.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1932736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes67c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed Yes64c65.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.632927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes64c64.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1415060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes64c63.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea50…0a97backed Yes64c61.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.25966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…7205backed Yes63c61.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.511050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.546744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d6e…a2f4backed Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8128backed Yes77c60.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ccb…19cbbacked Yes78c57.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.853336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cab…f4ecbacked No32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.625855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35b…28b6backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.629537.9%36 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6210154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.152751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes64c45.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3127227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8581559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49f…0874backed Yes65c44.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe854…a1bbbacked Yes64c42.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…c4e3backed Yes69c42.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.032152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c31…a0c5backed No32c40.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d99…24f0backed Yes63c40.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed No36c39.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.