Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers beat Union St.-Gilloise?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf02b896fb45ef6fa586fc9c3f4328746bb35a3cbc041e90b1e4121038e194dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 899.5$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.59 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 34c | 642.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 53c | 535.81$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.98 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 48c | 476.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 47c | 278.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 47c | 212.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 211.59$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 48c | 130.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…52f7backed Yes | 46c | 55.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 45c | 48.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…42a7backed No | 52c | 44.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…01aebacked No | 54c | 42.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…4d82backed Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622d…91eebacked No | 56c | 42.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…954bbacked No | 55c | 41.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…3bd6backed Yes | 45c | 41.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…c064backed No | 54c | 40.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 47c | 39.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…b524backed Yes | 44c | 37.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce67…4a2dbacked Yes | 43c | 36.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…58cbbacked No | 53c | 34.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddf…23a1backed Yes | 43c | 34.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…4c3bbacked No | 57c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…cde9backed Yes | 47c | 32.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 54c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…8cbdbacked Yes | 48c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…0c2ebacked Yes | 44c | 31.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…f76dbacked No | 55c | 30.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…08e8backed No | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…9bdbbacked No | 56c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…a7b6backed Yes | 46c | 29.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…8834backed Yes | 46c | 28.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef9…9859backed Yes | 45c | 28.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…9ccfbacked Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e598backed Yes | 43c | 27.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…7e37backed No | 57c | 27.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ae…278bbacked No | 56c | 26.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…1a13backed Yes | 46c | 26.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…3a5dbacked Yes | 47c | 25.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…52adbacked No | 57c | 25.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…53e6backed No | 56c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…da92backed Yes | 44c | 25.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…ce81backed No | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…9dcbbacked No | 54c | 24.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…3578backed Yes | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff90…9ea9backed Yes | 44c | 23.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…083fbacked Yes | 43c | 23.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20a…2d89backed No | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 50c | 22.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…100ebacked No | 56c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…ccfcbacked No | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…63aabacked No | 56c | 21.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…5b7abacked No | 56c | 20.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…255abacked No | 56c | 19.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…325fbacked No | 53c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers beat Union St.-Gilloise?this page
- Will Union St.-Gilloise beat Rangers?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.