TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6410…1ff4backed Spurs68c33,357$22,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.3211164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Lakers0c22,550$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Lakers71c20,000$14,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,20029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Spurs75c14,137$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,531.196361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50cc…014bbacked Spurs39c11,090$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,764.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5019…7d1fbacked Spurs40c10,011$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,006.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…d73cbacked Lakers60c10,007$6,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs55c9,011$4,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.8470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6103…3c55backed Lakers61c8,268$5,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,043.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers65c7,369$4,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,765.81,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs43c6,312$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.3949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs38c5,734$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,552.8896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs21c5,320$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,222.471,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Lakers42c4,580$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.5761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Lakers60c4,574$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.4672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Lakers78c4,486$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.536563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Lakers35c4,377$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.6625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Spurs38c3,786$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.319724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers61c3,115$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Spurs39c3,106$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.797248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs38c3,050$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Spurs35c3,033$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.3436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Lakers64c3,000$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.924052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Spurs39c2,901$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.8111656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers38c2,862$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.8625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc0…8de0backed Lakers61c2,823$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lakers73c2,422$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.281,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs39c2,260$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.5246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Lakers23c2,130$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4903444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs30c2,077$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.2365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Lakers70c2,019$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.956829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Spurs39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.971241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed Lakers61c1,970$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefed…1fffbacked Lakers61c1,781$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8c…2cb4backed Spurs39c1,781$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+176.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aac…46a0backed Spurs33c1,770$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs31c1,740$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.345,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lakers62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers80c1,592$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.4816261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac3…2930backed Lakers61c1,578$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8200…f63dbacked Spurs39c1,578$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Spurs40c1,560$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93614941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Spurs66c1,489$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Lakers28c1,477$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.932433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Lakers23c1,457$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Spurs38c1,452$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.9735046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Lakers2c1,300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs40c1,154$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.0350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Lakers46c1,065$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.813920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers43c1,005$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4353,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Lakers61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers63c1,000$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers58c1,000$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb396…fbc0backed Lakers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…27e8backed Lakers62c999.99$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.99520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656c…7f2dbacked Spurs39c999.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+157.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Lakers17c949.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16317853.9%96 W · 82 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs39c931.08$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.779330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs32c925.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.221,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96fb…b2a3backed Spurs39c911.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.021457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs39c900$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Spurs38c855.15$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.746744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Spurs57c800.7$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.74344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d11…31fbbacked Lakers4c795.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Lakers61c770.49$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs37c770.08$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.0827041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Spurs38c766$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs37c727.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Lakers62c699.99$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.7450453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Lakers13c665.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.543826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…1628backed Lakers62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs53c630.58$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.311,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Lakers63c599.99$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Spurs44c569.11$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers60c542.98$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…55bfbacked Spurs37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+172.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs37c527$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.011,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Lakers65c519.55$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.714862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Lakers20c516.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1429661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Spurs35c514.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2938942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc697…04e3backed Lakers73c502.92$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.513964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30526235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Lakers30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Lakers61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Spurs48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2604250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Spurs64c499.98$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…6261backed Lakers61c491.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lakers62c486.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4905…42f3backed Lakers50c486$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.581520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Spurs40c482.63$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.582133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Lakers62c454.4$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28012659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed Lakers63c420$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.61040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed Lakers60c416.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.192060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfae…00e4backed Lakers54c414.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.74955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Lakers64c411.56$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.46451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Spurs20c400.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6537831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Lakers62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24815341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Lakers13c399.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.