NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369f66a9bba07624fc3892b8a98324fc1f18f96e030dc0803596e74580df91b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pelicans | 37c | 44,035$16,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,232.13 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Timberwolves | 68c | 24,458$16,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.24 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 36c | 21,747$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Timberwolves | 52c | 15,496$8,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,433.86 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Timberwolves | 61c | 15,291$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.66 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 36c | 10,473$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.7 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 10,035$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.09 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 38c | 7,284$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.87 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pelicans | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Timberwolves | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 42c | 6,060$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.89 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 63c | 5,225$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.25 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Pelicans | 9c | 5,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 35c | 4,785$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pelicans | 1c | 4,673$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Pelicans | 49c | 4,206$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.54 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Timberwolves | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.73 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 3,053$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.37 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 2c | 3,034$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Pelicans | 29c | 3,020$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 37c | 3,000$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.06 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Pelicans | 31c | 2,881$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 35c | 2,795$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.26 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Pelicans | 35c | 2,486$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,485$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.67 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,485$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.85 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,479$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.34 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans | 34c | 2,463$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.16 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,313$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.01 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Pelicans | 33c | 2,298$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.22 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,173$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,104$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.45 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,083$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.59 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Pelicans | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…aa48backed Timberwolves | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…efefbacked Pelicans | 35c | 1,942$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…b03bbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,867$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Pelicans | 26c | 1,860$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.55 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,532$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.16 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,391$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.93 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,389$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Pelicans | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,202$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.58 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…4a9fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Pelicans | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pelicans | 37c | 1,155$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.35 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Pelicans | 12c | 1,122$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pelicans | 37c | 1,087$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.44 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,059$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…af5bbacked Pelicans | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 22c | 1,037$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,002$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.98 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pelicans | 1c | 999.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pelicans | 32c | 970.71$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Pelicans | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Timberwolves | 73c | 950.13$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Timberwolves | 66c | 869.79$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans | 35c | 857$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 821.07$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Pelicans | 47c | 799.98$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Timberwolves | 66c | 793.82$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Timberwolves | 64c | 784.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Pelicans | 34c | 776.75$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Timberwolves | 64c | 746$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 63c | 708.64$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 700$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3b…d17cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 684.08$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Pelicans | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…5fb7backed Timberwolves | 64c | 672.56$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 30c | 670.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…dee9backed Pelicans | 37c | 665.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f89…93ddbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 664.06$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…0f45backed Timberwolves | 69c | 663.04$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec7…c67fbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 656.11$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Timberwolves | 53c | 648.09$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…25a2backed Pelicans | 34c | 625.52$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Timberwolves | 69c | 612.83$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 601.03$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Pelicans | 37c | 597.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…65c6backed Pelicans | 39c | 591.13$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 563.76$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 558.4$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 548.9$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.41 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pelicans | 34c | 538.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 35c | 510$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 500.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Pelicans | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.