Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x540823c537d86540cef8865f7d0e41335ff1fa81f6b58c4e977047ba175f1cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed Yes | 75c | 147,000$110,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,750 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…bfb7backed No | 25c | 147,000$36,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 75c | 15,712$11,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.04 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 24c | 13,618$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.57 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed No | 69c | 10,015$6,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,909.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 7,648$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.94 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 25c | 6,017$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.19 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 24c | 4,720$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 4,010$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.47 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 74c | 3,838$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 27c | 3,770$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 26c | 2,864$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.75 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 25c | 2,791$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.65 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,003$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.98 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 44c | 1,961$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.1 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,915$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 75c | 1,652$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,616$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed No | 73c | 1,595$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.97 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 64c | 1,383$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,355$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.27 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.32 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 27c | 1,115$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 75c | 1,093$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.17 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Yes | 76c | 1,026$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…f4f4backed No | 26c | 972.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 24c | 925.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.66 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Yes | 41c | 851.69$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 36c | 843.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.35 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 24c | 827.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 25c | 801.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 67c | 747.68$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 53c | 705$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 700$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 75c | 689.37$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed Yes | 24c | 669.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 26c | 650$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 600$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 2c | 539.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Yes | 76c | 518.42$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 74c | 499.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 36c | 475.74$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.47 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 33c | 461.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 24c | 450.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 57c | 443.96$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.29 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 23c | 424.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…a699backed Yes | 32c | 423.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 24c | 399.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 24c | 394.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 65c | 385$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…429dbacked Yes | 75c | 350.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 25c | 328.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 26c | 302.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 65c | 300.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 67c | 299.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 77c | 283.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 78c | 274.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Yes | 14c | 270.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 36c | 267.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b05…f7e9backed Yes | 76c | 262.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes | 74c | 249.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 218.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 77c | 218.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 75c | 216.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed No | 42c | 214.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…8302backed No | 26c | 209.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 24c | 209.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…4c09backed Yes | 76c | 205.9$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 16c | 198.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 76c | 197.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 28c | 194.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 75c | 186.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Yes | 77c | 181.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes | 76c | 170.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 37c | 162.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 75c | 161.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed No | 25c | 159.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Yes | 75c | 154.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5b…0037backed Yes | 77c | 153.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 35c | 143.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.