TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Kings, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,672 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90f6…b703backed Kings1c11,100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Kings6c6,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Kings1c5,963$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.94573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings13c5,424$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.3361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings9c4,956$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Bucks55c4,560$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.917347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings3c4,166$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.713,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Kings5c4,134$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.38337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings31c4,028$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.1565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.8837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Kings44c2,605$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.316253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings20c2,329$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.525,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bucks60c2,320$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Kings1c2,222$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4418518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Bucks56c1,797$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.718851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Bucks56c1,754$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.916152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings29c1,408$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40538132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Bucks72c1,337$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.0417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks55c1,317$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.6959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings3c1,077$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Kings4c1,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad1…c838backed Kings44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Kings3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings14c999.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.181,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed Bucks55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Kings2c942.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.81140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings11c926.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Bucks55c907.97$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.592560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…57f9backed Kings46c870.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Kings7c800$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings45c692$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings3c681.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Kings45c666.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Kings42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25215237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Kings5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…efd1backed Kings45c566.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2553348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Kings3c533.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1534644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Kings45c514$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.32560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings9c500.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings46c500$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.1789353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8595…1fb5backed Kings43c485.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings46c484.63$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks55c481.95$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.8857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdd…410abacked Kings14c466.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings45c462.49$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bucks55c461.66$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.7512239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Bucks56c455.36$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.366253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Bucks56c410.71$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7112759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Kings42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16819746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks55c399.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks54c399.93$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9750453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Kings6c376.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.66829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Kings44c370.57$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.054639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462a…8b5cbacked Kings7c366$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6215639.7%62 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings43c363.9$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Bucks55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.643743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Kings44c361$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.844452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Bucks55c333$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8520245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings45c332.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.842,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks55c329.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Bucks56c321.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4338942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Kings45c316.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.34037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Kings45c311.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6215…1046backed Kings26c306.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2510623.6%25 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed01…9bb9backed Kings36c305$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Bucks57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.522955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Kings3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.413611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings34c297.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.961,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc573…e1d4backed Kings46c295.65$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49f9…736abacked Kings18c269.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.373647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Bucks56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.866560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Bucks56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11012659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Kings15c249.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.740726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Kings45c245.08$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2930251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…ce5dbacked Kings46c238.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…7dbabacked Bucks56c234.02$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb2…e10fbacked Bucks55c233.61$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…7b0bbacked Kings46c233.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0f…c1d0backed Bucks56c227.18$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…9dafbacked Kings46c227.17$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0c…31f7backed Bucks56c226.2$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b46…434ebacked Kings46c226.09$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb668…5afcbacked Kings46c223.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Bucks72c223.79$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac3…fa24backed Bucks55c223.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Kings45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Kings45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Kings45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Kings46c217.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks56c212$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.231,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bucks56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Kings7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Kings13c199.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8711249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Kings45c182.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8219650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.