TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,202

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33e5…5e20backed Hurricanes60c6,090$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde3…bdaebacked Golden Knights40c5,023$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Hurricanes58c3,500$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Golden Knights10c3,148$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6902…5548backed Hurricanes60c2,686$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9618…846dbacked Golden Knights40c2,686$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hurricanes58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights12c2,482$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.311,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights20c1,605$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Hurricanes60c1,335$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.8115261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights41c1,309$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.881,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights5c1,200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Hurricanes60c1,167$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.676953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b5e1backed Golden Knights40c1,072$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights40c866$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes57c857.66$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Hurricanes60c823.55$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.953754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Golden Knights39c751.94$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights2c709.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.757450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights41c652.89$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights40c614.18$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights26c518.03$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.993,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes59c499.98$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.991,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes59c472.94$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.661,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Golden Knights40c417.49$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2141851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Hurricanes61c377.05$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0513457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Hurricanes58c362.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0718136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights41c359.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Golden Knights15c327.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.065322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Golden Knights40c297.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9347249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Golden Knights39c276.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.988537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Golden Knights43c257.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9938040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Golden Knights41c249.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1535545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Golden Knights40c246.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Golden Knights41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x073f…070ebacked Golden Knights42c239.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe938…9e62backed Golden Knights43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Hurricanes61c229.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6612859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ef…a23dbacked Hurricanes61c201.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights40c199.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x02d0…1784backed Golden Knights42c198.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights40c194.72$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e5…7df4backed Golden Knights42c191$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0b…2773backed Golden Knights41c182.78$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1240%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f6…d17dbacked Golden Knights41c182.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.922045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Hurricanes60c181.97$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9715456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hurricanes57c174.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8248654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Golden Knights46c174.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hurricanes58c171.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2413756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Golden Knights61c167.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Hurricanes61c163.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.947062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights45c154.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b2a…460abacked Golden Knights48c153.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7e…697fbacked Golden Knights41c150.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…2f6cbacked Golden Knights39c149.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.493336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2424…2751backed Golden Knights42c143.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…b0bdbacked Golden Knights41c143.38$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.722166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Golden Knights42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7e…e247backed Golden Knights47c142.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Golden Knights45c128.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ff…fdd7backed Golden Knights41c126.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ff…032abacked Golden Knights43c123.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Golden Knights41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0e…c4f7backed Golden Knights41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59e7…a1a9backed Golden Knights41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Golden Knights41c120.42$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.373452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8d…3645backed Hurricanes60c120.25$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…049abacked Golden Knights41c117.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd31…03a4backed Hurricanes60c117.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db5…d06fbacked Hurricanes61c115.21$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…a339backed Golden Knights42c114.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3936…015cbacked Golden Knights41c113.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8723…8ef5backed Hurricanes61c111.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Golden Knights42c111.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.724951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Golden Knights41c109.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f37…b248backed Golden Knights42c108.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.71631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Golden Knights42c103.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b14…d17cbacked Hurricanes61c102.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Golden Knights41c99.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed Hurricanes60c98.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b1c…18e9backed Hurricanes60c96.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Hurricanes59c96.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Golden Knights23c95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.057448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd676…171fbacked Golden Knights41c93.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43bb…13bbbacked Hurricanes58c93.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Hurricanes60c93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Hurricanes60c92.9$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea2…f05dbacked Hurricanes59c92.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf789…7702backed Hurricanes60c90.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ab1…5aa5backed Golden Knights42c90.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.96785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Hurricanes59c89.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.731650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x027e…988cbacked Golden Knights42c87.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Hurricanes60c86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e0…292fbacked Golden Knights42c84.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d7…79a1backed Golden Knights42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.