TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$434,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Pacers45c28,159$12,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,547.7711656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pacers54c26,603$14,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,238.7313140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Pistons45c20,902$9,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,406.099952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons51c15,002$7,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,636.7765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons10c8,814$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Pistons53c8,500$4,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.956863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…014bbacked Pistons57c8,446$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers50c8,140$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.2276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers53c8,127$4,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.5515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…7c4bbacked Pistons55c6,749$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33e5…5e20backed Pacers45c6,317$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons27c6,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pistons17c5,781$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.8725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pistons32c5,500$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers65c5,084$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.1949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Pacers47c4,915$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers48c4,872$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.2337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Pistons56c4,825$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7004165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons43c4,806$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.251,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f77…924ebacked Pacers43c4,650$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pistons33c4,140$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.1668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons3c4,136$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.961,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pistons10c3,686$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5123237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Pacers64c3,453$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.557450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e6…0b86backed Pacers43c3,415$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pistons43c3,305$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Pistons39c2,990$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.064158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Pacers59c2,549$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.416841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons57c2,066$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.8275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Pistons10c2,044$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Pacers45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10013352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers44c1,999$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.5896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pistons13c1,987$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Pistons50c1,878$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.791978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Pacers47c1,799$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.243231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers59c1,798$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.5236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons42c1,740$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pacers44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons3c1,594$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pistons53c1,589$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.3550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Pistons17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25521357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Pistons53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7951450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Pacers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Pistons13c1,499$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.067741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pacers76c1,491$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons5c1,458$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons55c1,339$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.4185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons53c1,211$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers49c1,198$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6111,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pistons8c1,194$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4919231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons41c1,178$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6d…6c66backed Pacers51c1,146$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.93759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1668…c545backed Pistons16c1,134$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.023941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c55…1846backed Pacers48c1,110$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.424161%25 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Pistons45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49527546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons1c1,008$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Pacers44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5604344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons55c970$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.51,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons11c948.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers59c943.92$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.721,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers72c939.51$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons55c903.96$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…cd00backed Pacers43c880.91$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons54c801.87$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers47c799$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4751037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Pistons55c761.55$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223941%16 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2210…4aa7backed Pacers46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…4507backed Pacers43c724.56$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pistons51c700$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35629661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons52c686.36$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Pistons34c602.36$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.624042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd65…9bc7backed Pistons30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pacers54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pistons24c599.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14437831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Pacers75c559.87$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8111249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Pacers54c551.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9614062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd00a…7400backed Pacers44c549.07$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Pistons16c529.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Pistons53c528.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Pistons47c510$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.956744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Pacers75c505$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.210236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers54c500$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c29…d822backed Pistons31c500$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+85.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Pistons36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0211…8073backed Pistons57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons50c497.26$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.631,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pistons49c486.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8747948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df6…bb77backed Pacers45c477.78$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Pistons48c472.6$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6740448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…efd1backed Pistons53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons49c470.98$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers69c456.23$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.011,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…e880backed Pacers55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Pistons50c446.07$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b5e1backed Pacers45c428.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers47c410.71$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.631,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.