TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Wild

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Wild
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,887 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Senators38c1,712$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.2531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators40c1,203$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.1835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Wild62c970.02$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators39c788.64$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.451,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Wild63c738$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.9413361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wild61c700$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Senators40c591.59$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.2841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild59c501.3$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.541,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild60c500$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Senators39c499.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wild51c431.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.310739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Wild59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Senators49c408.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.075648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators41c381.42$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0254349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild5c339.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.557450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Wild61c291.6$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8814949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Wild64c291.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8920345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild4c271.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Senators41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Senators40c248$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators37c216.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.633,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators48c208.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6719438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators40c200.05$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Wild52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Senators48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10472448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Wild61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Wild60c179.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10713562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Wild59c101.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild55c101.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Wild60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Senators42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Senators41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Wild54c99.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…5e61backed Wild58c75.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Wild62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Senators41c74.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8862944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc520…e89ebacked Wild61c72.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked Wild59c68.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc95…ad57backed Senators40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e6…12fbbacked Senators42c61.49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c9…4ca5backed Senators40c57.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild60c54.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6838040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Wild69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Senators31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.513655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30cd…f9f0backed Wild49c48.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.893828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x611b…f45fbacked Senators40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa8…c07cbacked Senators40c42.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Wild63c39.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69c2…df9abacked Senators42c39.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6290…cfd4backed Wild60c38.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1efc…d21bbacked Senators40c38.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd217…cd5ebacked Senators40c38.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee5…51f4backed Senators40c38.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked Wild59c37.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.281450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2225…ff6fbacked Wild61c37.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f86…d20dbacked Wild61c37.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…3fafbacked Senators40c37.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe0…473bbacked Wild60c37.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Senators40c37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Senators39c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5710941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…8b30backed Wild58c36.37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.140%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfda5…41a0backed Wild61c36.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b7…85c6backed Senators42c35.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec72…1b12backed Senators39c35.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Wild57c35.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2748654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402a…32d1backed Senators41c34.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d0…4b11backed Wild61c34.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71e1…211cbacked Senators42c34.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6f…2da8backed Wild58c34.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Wild59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Wild61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Wild62c32.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ff…0f76backed Wild58c32.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02e4…0202backed Senators42c32.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1707…ba72backed Wild58c31.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x287a…3ad1backed Senators42c31.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…6919backed Wild60c31.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cf…4c56backed Wild58c31.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325a…4a16backed Senators42c31.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…2375backed Wild61c31.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea1…1a0bbacked Wild60c31.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Senators40c29.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fe…e250backed Senators41c29.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe03c…92b4backed Wild59c29.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec30…ca3abacked Senators42c28.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c3…b759backed Wild61c27.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cd…f25bbacked Wild58c27.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc58…516cbacked Senators42c27.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d9…e4f4backed Senators41c27.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ff…0a84backed Senators42c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5784…8e61backed Wild58c26.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b6…27ddbacked Senators45c26.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.485334%18 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf928…4998backed Senators40c26.09$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f3…f887backed Wild60c26.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6530%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x465c…017bbacked Senators40c25.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Wild77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205750.9%29 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc224…3eb6backed Wild61c25.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45fe…c193backed Wild58c24.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x964a…9279backed Senators42c24.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.