Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Dynamo Kyiv beat RFS?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601e7bb6db2ea727df0d62be3ef564c1b13869f5852e928513cf96acbf5c75e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 906.93$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.17 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 51c | 822.1$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 49c | 676.07$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.18 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 47c | 252.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 54c | 241.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 46c | 240.2$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…0735backed Yes | 46c | 217.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…4cd5backed Yes | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 45c | 184.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 45c | 180.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 46c | 157.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 54c | 150.57$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 48c | 78.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614c…c102backed Yes | 55c | 71.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…3ea0backed Yes | 52c | 57.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…308cbacked Yes | 52c | 43.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…b4f6backed No | 47c | 40.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…299cbacked Yes | 53c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…1a13backed No | 47c | 37.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…5f56backed Yes | 52c | 36.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f61…556bbacked No | 48c | 36.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2539…3cd0backed No | 48c | 36.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 53c | 35.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…0f9fbacked No | 48c | 35.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…c0c7backed Yes | 52c | 35.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…89adbacked No | 48c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…a8d6backed No | 47c | 34.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…af7fbacked No | 48c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…3bf6backed No | 49c | 33.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…cc17backed Yes | 51c | 33.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…2ca1backed Yes | 52c | 33.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49d…8c77backed No | 47c | 32.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…f413backed No | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…00b9backed No | 48c | 30.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2d28backed Yes | 52c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…da3fbacked Yes | 56c | 29.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…705ebacked Yes | 52c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…236dbacked Yes | 53c | 27.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…5c4cbacked No | 45c | 26.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…4e29backed Yes | 55c | 26.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 25.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e1…3d3fbacked Yes | 55c | 25.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3034…495dbacked Yes | 53c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 55c | 24.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…4942backed No | 47c | 23.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…5c86backed Yes | 53c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…5cf6backed No | 47c | 23.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…4fbfbacked Yes | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…8b75backed Yes | 52c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe039…9514backed Yes | 53c | 21.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…2a30backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…3607backed Yes | 52c | 19.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…9780backed Yes | 51c | 19.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dynamo Kyiv beat RFS?this page
- Will RFS beat Dynamo Kyiv?No won
- Will the match between Dynamo Kyiv and RFS end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.