TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings62c14,557$8,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,591.0949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Bulls37c10,878$4,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.289250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Bulls36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls39c9,965$3,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,889.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls34c8,627$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.8661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls38c6,376$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.8296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls47c5,709$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.5370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Kings56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20015763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Kings64c4,435$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.437354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Bulls39c4,114$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.9311164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Kings56c4,000$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.999557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Kings62c3,625$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.937448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Kings62c3,239$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.984165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Kings70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61b…4049backed Kings62c2,803$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.731369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings62c2,586$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.5376249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Bulls41c2,538$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.9917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Bulls45c2,506$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kings61c2,500$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.991,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bulls38c2,500$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.9146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5b…4cc1backed Bulls40c2,450$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Bulls42c2,405$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls29c2,061$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.1526235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Bulls43c1,890$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.3129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings65c1,842$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.8536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Bulls46c1,764$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.8215947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Kings63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.37345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Bulls5c1,500$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.931,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls41c1,400$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Bulls42c1,381$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.059739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls40c1,302$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Bulls39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Kings61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.951353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Bulls49c1,116$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Kings62c1,004$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.844463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Bulls36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Bulls43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.999330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Kings61c983.77$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.772433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Kings61c975.02$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.357860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Kings53c944.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.527739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings61c924$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Kings60c890$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3567032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa37a…c252backed Kings62c838.55$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.653762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Kings52c799.99$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Kings61c799.98$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings55c796.89$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.431,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc697…04e3backed Kings62c784.61$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.153964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls36c768.95$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Kings59c747.79$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7095…b7b9backed Kings62c737.77$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.351384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Kings62c727.77$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.554862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Bulls49c706.3$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings55c690.49$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.370951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Bulls43c673.51$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.626934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa447…57a2backed Bulls41c643.89$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…618fbacked Kings59c643.89$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.995100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2a5…30c4backed Kings62c602.15$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.351776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings63c559.88$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d2…6b91backed Kings61c534.36$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb765…e17fbacked Kings62c526.5$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.073762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Kings64c523.44$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4425865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…839bbacked Bulls39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings62c501.53$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Bulls39c500.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19514129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Kings64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings64c500$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1811,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Bulls41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Kings61c492.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.034667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls5c482$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.31,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Kings62c452.81$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.2814941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Kings66c452.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3545135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Kings62c403$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.674452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls37c400$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls38c394.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.092,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Bulls25c394.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Bulls51c393.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls38c387.41$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2175347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d50…beecbacked Kings63c386.72$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Bulls26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Kings62c374.33$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.258548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Bulls39c369.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.311662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bulls38c369.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Kings61c368$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5216160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883d…667ebacked Kings75c344.76$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.481861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1571…58b4backed Kings70c330.83$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings61c329.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.281,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Kings62c310$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.84841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Kings65c309.45$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3134644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Kings72c308.12$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.199242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings63c304.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls7c300.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.051,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.