MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x759e1f009f0eb79d47935996927f70dc19269e46190846b28ad8f2bb69298a5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Reds, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 37c | 346,295$127,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,766.31 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 63c | 151,879$96,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,501.88 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cardinals | 64c | 79,225$50,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,741.6 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 63c | 49,869$31,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,255.33 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 23,370$14,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,646.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cardinals | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 28c | 10,495$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…86e5backed Cardinals | 62c | 9,999$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…92c3backed Reds | 38c | 9,996$3,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 64c | 7,523$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.16 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 7,290$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.01 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 62c | 7,242$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.23 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…718cbacked Reds | 21c | 6,398$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Reds | 70c | 5,925$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 64c | 5,888$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Reds | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Cardinals | 76c | 4,130$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.13 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 63c | 3,828$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.19 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 56c | 3,181$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 29c | 3,084$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Cardinals | 64c | 2,734$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.38 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 34c | 2,294$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.82 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 73c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Reds | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 29c | 1,762$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.07 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 36c | 1,569$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.69 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,551$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 33c | 1,334$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Reds | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,003$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Reds | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 61c | 958.18$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.55 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Cardinals | 64c | 921.88$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cardinals | 48c | 889.51$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.51 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 64c | 869$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.84 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cardinals | 64c | 864$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cardinals | 80c | 860.51$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Reds | 38c | 788$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.44 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 39c | 733.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Reds | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Reds | 37c | 563.35$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.44 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cardinals | 61c | 504.62$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Cardinals | 24c | 501.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.22 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 6c | 463$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 38c | 440$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…40b4backed Reds | 25c | 413.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Reds | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Cardinals | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cardinals | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 25c | 283.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 14c | 281.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 36c | 274$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.55 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 64c | 269$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 53c | 261.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 39c | 253.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 64c | 246.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 37c | 240.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Cardinals | 20c | 224.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Reds | 43c | 221.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 67c | 203$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaaa…95c1backed Reds | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Reds | 27c | 189.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Reds | 40c | 185.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Cardinals | 59c | 177.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 32c | 159.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cardinals | 63c | 152$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 28c | 137.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…96d1backed Cardinals | 64c | 135.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Cardinals | 23c | 120$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 114.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cardinals | 55c | 111.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Reds | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Reds | 37c | 108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 47c | 106.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cardinals | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Reds | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Reds | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Cardinals | 57c | 98.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Reds | 18c | 84.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…d51dbacked Reds | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Cardinals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Cardinals | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 37c | 73.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Reds | 29c | 72.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Cardinals | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.