Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Munar vs. Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb7a7dca4838e98066a74396779e3bdb100ec940308a88eff88c27e5f25fa37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Munar, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Bublik | 4c | 11,412$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…b035backed Bublik | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Munar | 39c | 7,992$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880.58 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Munar | 66c | 3,644$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Bublik | 17c | 3,490$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Munar | 63c | 1,910$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bublik | 27c | 1,865$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Munar | 18c | 1,571$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Munar | 41c | 1,474$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Munar | 72c | 1,400$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Bublik | 29c | 1,226$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Munar | 40c | 1,200$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Munar | 25c | 1,192$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.17 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Munar | 24c | 1,155$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.92 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bublik | 30c | 1,143$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.33 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Bublik | 80c | 1,050$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.5 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Munar | 19c | 909.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bublik | 61c | 823.7$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.15 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Bublik | 56c | 798.71$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Munar | 32c | 743.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Munar | 47c | 631.69$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Munar | 37c | 426.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Bublik | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Bublik | 67c | 366.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Bublik | 70c | 354.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Bublik | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Bublik | 62c | 299.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Bublik | 13c | 280.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Munar | 70c | 241.55$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Bublik | 30c | 225.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Munar | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Bublik | 57c | 178.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Bublik | 65c | 169.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Munar | 51c | 164.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Munar | 17c | 154.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Bublik | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Munar | 71c | 144.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bublik | 35c | 143.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Bublik | 66c | 140.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Bublik | 64c | 136.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Bublik | 75c | 122$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Munar | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Bublik | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Munar | 18c | 99.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Bublik | 23c | 89.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Bublik | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 53c | 76.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Munar | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Bublik | 79c | 59.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…0868backed Bublik | 40c | 53.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Bublik | 78c | 47.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Munar | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Bublik | 68c | 34.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…3629backed Bublik | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Bublik | 66c | 28.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Bublik | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Bublik | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd308…00bbbacked Bublik | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a49…0416backed Bublik | 54c | 19.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.