Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Evans vs. Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe495e802b27393e51e69e3ed706459d11c49c4429128c7d1345447b4571914a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evans of Evans , Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Evans | 57c | 4,832$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.41 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Paul | 23c | 3,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Evans | 30c | 2,302$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.45 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Evans | 49c | 2,241$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.09 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Paul | 74c | 1,341$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.31 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Evans | 46c | 846.16$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.08 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8af…5700backed Paul | 73c | 725$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Paul | 40c | 720.44$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Paul | 80c | 700$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Paul | 58c | 604.49$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.6 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Evans | 33c | 509.09$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.09 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Paul | 69c | 492.9$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Evans | 26c | 413.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.02 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Evans | 33c | 409.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…5287backed Evans | 27c | 405$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Evans | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…7601backed Evans | 27c | 355$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Paul | 72c | 339.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Paul | 64c | 290$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Paul | 74c | 277.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Paul | 47c | 260$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Evans | 45c | 256$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Evans | 28c | 231.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…79adbacked Evans | 27c | 225$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paul | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Paul | 74c | 199$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…3c62backed Paul | 73c | 180$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Evans | 24c | 159.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Evans | 45c | 106.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Paul | 62c | 103.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paul | 79c | 83.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…9f63backed Paul | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Paul | 70c | 58.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Paul | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Paul | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Evans | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…4a79backed Paul | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Paul | 73c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.