TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. Khachanov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Khachanovof Mochizuki, Khachanov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Khachanov48c25,056$12,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,978.021,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Mochizuki32c11,725$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,790.613545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Mochizuki32c8,454$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.9322056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mochizuki27c7,304$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.139144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Khachanov70c5,556$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7228043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7a…6f28backed Mochizuki59c4,263$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.292737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mochizuki39c2,969$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.41,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Khachanov50c2,900$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.8620155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mochizuki33c2,505$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.299130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Mochizuki29c2,179$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Khachanov73c2,063$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.055332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Khachanov51c1,971$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.3314549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Khachanov53c1,937$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.23435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Mochizuki28c1,601$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2425330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Mochizuki65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Mochizuki15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22526039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Mochizuki41c1,345$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.425134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mochizuki14c1,311$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.856530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Mochizuki62c1,200$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.437955.7%44 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mochizuki15c1,151$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.72,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mochizuki17c1,144$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Khachanov67c1,114$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mochizuki17c1,100$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18815452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Khachanov57c1,065$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.684940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Mochizuki16c1,029$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.712927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Khachanov65c961.05$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6132141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mochizuki28c906$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.561,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Mochizuki48c881.46$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5810839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Khachanov40c870.18$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.26832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Mochizuki41c651$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Mochizuki45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705042%21 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Mochizuki15c585$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7510729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Khachanov60c501.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1512253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Mochizuki58c484.66$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.562133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1953…5607backed Khachanov67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Mochizuki45c440$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19814546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79e9…e20fbacked Khachanov78c420.44$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Mochizuki49c404.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Mochizuki16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647238.9%28 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mochizuki14c357.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.021,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Khachanov52c349.88$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.883429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Mochizuki43c346.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.215757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Mochizuki31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Khachanov53c320$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Mochizuki42c310.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.482924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Khachanov69c285.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.513056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Khachanov69c278.93$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4717767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed Mochizuki16c270.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.356549.2%32 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Mochizuki60c266.93$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3524…eb2abacked Khachanov44c261.36$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Mochizuki16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…6968backed Khachanov60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Mochizuki16c247$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.593135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Khachanov55c244.76$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2414949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba32…e181backed Mochizuki65c241.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Khachanov43c230.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.231030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Khachanov49c220$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Khachanov74c217.85$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.114456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Khachanov51c216.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9613864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Mochizuki15c206.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mochizuki17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Mochizuki58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7410651.9%55 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Khachanov48c173.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4216445.7%75 W · 89 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Mochizuki40c170$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.243948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Mochizuki25c163.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Khachanov62c159.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.686139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Khachanov38c132.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9625043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mochizuki19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mochizuki52c114.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Mochizuki40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Mochizuki16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Mochizuki39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0317349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21cd…e7aabacked Mochizuki29c93.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277441.9%31 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mochizuki16c86.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Mochizuki14c83.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.955819%11 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Khachanov67c79.87$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.362240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Khachanov42c79.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3124529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Khachanov64c79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.088943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Khachanov48c77.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.371833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Khachanov64c77.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.663946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x393d…7084backed Mochizuki16c74.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7e…0debbacked Mochizuki28c70.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x846d…3f44backed Mochizuki52c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Khachanov62c68.84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.161450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Khachanov64c66.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.012454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Mochizuki21c56.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.637236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Mochizuki56c51.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.826844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Mochizuki38c34.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.965540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd570…932ebacked Khachanov45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…e8c9backed Mochizuki58c22.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Mochizuki56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.