MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa691e7f3abb1deb7296be4316eb99b4cec98abf26232c9d4739b316adaee420e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Blue Jays, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Blue Jays | 40c | 29,448$11,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,753.16 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 60c | 10,389$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 7,804$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.27 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 57c | 6,353$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.04 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 60c | 6,201$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 60c | 4,044$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Phillies | 59c | 3,333$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Phillies | 60c | 3,247$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.57 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 3,088$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.57 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Phillies | 57c | 2,781$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.25 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,511$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.44 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,842$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 55c | 1,677$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.55 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 61c | 1,532$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.65 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 34c | 1,472$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Phillies | 66c | 1,461$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 1,160$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 50c | 1,148$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.65 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Phillies | 59c | 1,112$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Blue Jays | 38c | 1,080$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 1,030$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Phillies | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 41c | 999.96$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Phillies | 46c | 981.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.78 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 17c | 949.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 40c | 915.34$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.14 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 60c | 820.43$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.37 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Phillies | 60c | 616.67$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Blue Jays | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 58c | 608.26$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.47 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 60c | 598.41$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Phillies | 62c | 570$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 39c | 522.36$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 59c | 503$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.84 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 59c | 487$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 63c | 478.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Blue Jays | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Phillies | 59c | 466.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Blue Jays | 41c | 430$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Phillies | 60c | 333.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Blue Jays | 47c | 309.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 40c | 304$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Blue Jays | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays | 40c | 272.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 39c | 267.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 238.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Phillies | 61c | 203.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 202.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Blue Jays | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 24c | 172.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays | 58c | 171.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 59c | 168.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…e790backed Phillies | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Phillies | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 60c | 158.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 38c | 120.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Phillies | 62c | 101.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Blue Jays | 43c | 100.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Phillies | 59c | 97.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Phillies | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays | 54c | 91.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…9b46backed Blue Jays | 42c | 89.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 39c | 82.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 80.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Blue Jays | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 43c | 79.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Phillies | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Phillies | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…1b62backed Blue Jays | 42c | 63.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Blue Jays | 60c | 60.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 59.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 61c | 57.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0135…a1ebbacked Phillies | 59c | 51.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Phillies | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Blue Jays | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Blue Jays | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Phillies | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Phillies | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Blue Jays | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.