MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5acd1c35fa616a6bcb5544646ba99ecfd86bd9404683cec12ff8ca1f178a2e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Guardians, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 44c | 99,388$43,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,769.55 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 56c | 33,912$18,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,921.14 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 48c | 25,727$12,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,440.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mariners | 56c | 24,985$13,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,993.4 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Guardians | 33c | 12,121$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners | 56c | 11,450$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,038 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Guardians | 55c | 9,525$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.87 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 73c | 7,663$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 46c | 7,544$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 25c | 7,500$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.26 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Guardians | 63c | 7,390$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.19 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mariners | 74c | 5,429$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.8 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 58c | 4,989$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.7 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 46c | 4,971$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.15 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 55c | 3,972$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Mariners | 42c | 2,692$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 27c | 2,624$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Guardians | 29c | 2,588$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Guardians | 73c | 2,584$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.03 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,240$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Guardians | 48c | 2,166$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.96 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 39c | 2,072$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.57 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Guardians | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 46c | 1,406$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.26 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd27…fcb5backed Guardians | 80c | 1,264$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Guardians | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 28c | 985$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.47 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 34c | 954.61$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Mariners | 61c | 823.76$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians | 23c | 800$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 55c | 785.18$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 71c | 761$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 73c | 736.18$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.41 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Guardians | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Mariners | 55c | 707.23$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.14 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 25c | 701.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 66c | 700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 26c | 677.53$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Guardians | 26c | 618.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mariners | 48c | 569.13$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 45c | 536$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.16 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Guardians | 30c | 527.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Guardians | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 44c | 499.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Mariners | 28c | 442.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.61 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 60c | 413.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 56c | 367.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 26c | 322.41$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 20c | 299.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Mariners | 61c | 296.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 21c | 271.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mariners | 35c | 250.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.94 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…c946backed Guardians | 45c | 235.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 45c | 234$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 45c | 223.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Guardians | 20c | 214.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Mariners | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 43c | 207.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 22c | 172.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Guardians | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Mariners | 67c | 158.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Mariners | 74c | 156.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Mariners | 56c | 153$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 73c | 152$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Guardians | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 66c | 134.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mariners | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Guardians | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Guardians | 43c | 114.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Guardians | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Guardians | 37c | 110.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Guardians | 20c | 101.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Guardians | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Mariners | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…ab13backed Guardians | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mariners | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Guardians | 31c | 97.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Guardians | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Mariners | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Guardians | 45c | 90.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Mariners | 52c | 84.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mariners | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Mariners | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 56c | 75.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 45c | 74.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mariners | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.