Champions League · resolved market
Inter Milan vs. Urawa: 4+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c71b650e02485514d01b0fea675edb2a1e31e960aca012ec342567abb69f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 60c | 9,166$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.23 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 40c | 7,830$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 62c | 3,202$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.01 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 2,468$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.15 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ab…13abbacked Yes | 44c | 1,110$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba6…254abacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baf…6f15backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…4683backed Yes | 44c | 950$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 38c | 929.22$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 56c | 826.67$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Yes | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…637ebacked No | 56c | 735$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 40c | 712.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked No | 61c | 524.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…8afcbacked No | 61c | 310$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 66c | 305.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed No | 66c | 275.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5df…46dcbacked No | 56c | 265$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 58c | 207.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 205$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…ab22backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…f453backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…05f0backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…3702backed Yes | 37c | 96.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed No | 62c | 54.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 40c | 48.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 63c | 43.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 36c | 41.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e58…195fbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…a005backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…24e3backed Yes | 40c | 27.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…86dcbacked No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.