MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa3a3fe55ed1d2d843d780da0a11c8612f11d581aff2ae1bbc2d0b4f7181520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Cardinals, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $746,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 509,753$254,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,369.63 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 50c | 213,896$106,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,948.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pirates | 54c | 108,787$58,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,009.02 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 50c | 50,018$25,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,810.76 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 50c | 45,470$22,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,698.85 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 50c | 29,752$14,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,875.76 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 50c | 25,440$12,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,763.97 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Pirates | 50c | 24,061$11,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,109.35 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 51c | 20,500$10,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Pirates | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cardinals | 49c | 18,525$9,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,057.74 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 50c | 15,271$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,635.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…d73cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 9,998$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…b351backed Pirates | 46c | 9,717$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 39c | 6,221$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.27 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Cardinals | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pirates | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b41bbacked Pirates | 46c | 5,330$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 50c | 3,300$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 51c | 3,130$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 71c | 2,942$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.34 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 49c | 2,931$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.58 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…3aa4backed Cardinals | 54c | 2,816$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 68c | 2,758$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 50c | 2,696$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.92 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 51c | 2,645$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Pirates | 65c | 2,604$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.47 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…7d1fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 2,514$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Cardinals | 51c | 2,300$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.3 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 32c | 2,238$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…d69cbacked Pirates | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a8…be6ebacked Pirates | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…7a7abacked Pirates | 46c | 1,978$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Pirates | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,832$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 2c | 1,795$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…f263backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,782$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,654$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.09 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pirates | 71c | 1,595$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.55 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 50c | 1,579$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.31 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…2c93backed Pirates | 47c | 1,532$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 13c | 1,409$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Pirates | 52c | 1,359$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 52c | 1,298$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.08 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pirates | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 69c | 1,161$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.08 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Cardinals | 53c | 1,150$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 1c | 1,130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Cardinals | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Pirates | 67c | 1,086$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.23 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Cardinals | 54c | 1,056$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 2c | 1,039$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…d267backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Cardinals | 54c | 1,009$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 46c | 1,008$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.2 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 51c | 1,003$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.51 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…dd52backed Pirates | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…105abacked Cardinals | 54c | 989$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Pirates | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c83…9655backed Cardinals | 54c | 969$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 54c | 956.44$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Cardinals | 54c | 944$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…a7debacked Cardinals | 54c | 938$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Pirates | 51c | 890.2$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Cardinals | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Cardinals | 49c | 856.83$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…cde3backed Cardinals | 53c | 849$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 834.48$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.27 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cardinals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…5b24backed Cardinals | 53c | 683$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 674.72$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Pirates | 51c | 612.98$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.36 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Cardinals | 50c | 600.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 25c | 579$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cardinals | 55c | 516.38$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 16c | 492$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 52c | 480$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Pirates | 50c | 462.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Pirates | 52c | 458.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Cardinals | 50c | 417.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.78 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…f4b5backed Pirates | 75c | 415.03$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cardinals | 50c | 400.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.