Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Auger-Aliassime vs. Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5856e8658794d6839a54f815f8a0174702a93c53bf536cb92b65acd4195b3a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Auger-Aliassime, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fd5…d06bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 32c | 14,248$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.21 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Auger-Aliassime | 36c | 4,222$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.9 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 3,200$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.24 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fritz | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Fritz | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Fritz | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Fritz | 63c | 1,376$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Fritz | 74c | 1,136$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fritz | 78c | 1,029$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fritz | 64c | 800$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 36c | 747.39$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.06 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Fritz | 64c | 686.9$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Fritz | 63c | 635$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Fritz | 60c | 633.33$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.33 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Auger-Aliassime | 14c | 496.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 381.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Fritz | 64c | 313$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Fritz | 64c | 298.44$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Auger-Aliassime | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…934cbacked Fritz | 64c | 273.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…3a27backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 224.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Fritz | 60c | 206.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Fritz | 72c | 167.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…b1c2backed Fritz | 63c | 159.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz | 64c | 156.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fritz | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fritz | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Fritz | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Fritz | 63c | 80.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fritz | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Fritz | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Fritz | 63c | 64.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…6f44backed Fritz | 63c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Fritz | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Auger-Aliassime | 35c | 34.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 32.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…04b1backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 26.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9115…c615backed Fritz | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Fritz | 58c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e4…e3e6backed Fritz | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.