MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5477c7d1f120eb3902d92d018636d80e3f9cfadc2e2ab321290fa437f9a10bde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Rockies, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies | 24c | 52,304$12,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,552.98 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 77c | 43,818$33,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,123 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 76c | 39,999$30,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.76 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Rockies | 24c | 34,192$8,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,206.06 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 24c | 5,147$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.74 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 75c | 5,133$3,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 25c | 4,087$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.76 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 8c | 3,607$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 19c | 3,097$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 74c | 2,763$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.63 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 76c | 2,517$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.14 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Braves | 76c | 2,499$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rockies | 25c | 1,616$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 26c | 1,548$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…94f3backed Braves | 75c | 1,417$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Rockies | 19c | 1,371$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Rockies | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rockies | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rockies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 13c | 999.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Rockies | 25c | 972.21$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 24c | 772.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Rockies | 6c | 733.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies | 2c | 699.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies | 5c | 528$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockies | 24c | 520.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies | 27c | 501.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies | 4c | 474.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Braves | 73c | 466.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Rockies | 11c | 420.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…1c51backed Braves | 76c | 404.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Rockies | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies | 28c | 337.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 23c | 304.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Braves | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Braves | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Rockies | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockies | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 73c | 192.63$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Braves | 76c | 168.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Braves | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Rockies | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 75c | 120.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Braves | 76c | 118.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Braves | 77c | 114.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockies | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Rockies | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Rockies | 13c | 77.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Braves | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Braves | 77c | 54.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 24c | 53.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Braves | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rockies | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rockies | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Braves | 75c | 37.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Braves | 76c | 21.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Braves | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.