Champions League · resolved market
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fd9ff276de3767f8402e40f93ab33a85cf8980a4f6807a7154eadd31b97dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arsenalof Arsenal, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $639,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Real Madrid | 13c | 87,090$11,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,225.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Real Madrid | 12c | 73,535$8,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.22 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Real Madrid | 19c | 52,515$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,981.93 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Real Madrid | 5c | 15,500$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Real Madrid | 15c | 15,256$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Real Madrid | 3c | 10,404$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Real Madrid | 63c | 10,160$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.72 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Real Madrid | 16c | 10,001$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Real Madrid | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Arsenal | 59c | 9,826$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.21 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Real Madrid | 10c | 9,669$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.4 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Real Madrid | 13c | 9,312$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.59 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Real Madrid | 38c | 9,057$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Real Madrid | 14c | 8,498$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.22 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Arsenal | 36c | 8,456$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Real Madrid | 14c | 7,884$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Real Madrid | 33c | 7,334$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.32 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…98a2backed Real Madrid | 14c | 6,894$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…7f1cbacked Real Madrid | 14c | 6,410$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Arsenal | 40c | 5,869$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.3 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…23d2backed Real Madrid | 15c | 5,281$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…b997backed Real Madrid | 19c | 5,276$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Real Madrid | 47c | 4,605$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.7 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Real Madrid | 13c | 4,470$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Real Madrid | 15c | 4,012$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Real Madrid | 14c | 4,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Arsenal | 37c | 3,985$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.92 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 3,670$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Real Madrid | 15c | 3,606$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…41c9backed Real Madrid | 15c | 3,448$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Real Madrid | 59c | 2,890$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.22 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Arsenal | 42c | 2,859$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…820bbacked Real Madrid | 14c | 2,681$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…998cbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 2,675$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…338fbacked Real Madrid | 13c | 2,631$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…2273backed Real Madrid | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Arsenal | 59c | 2,360$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.73 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Real Madrid | 13c | 2,275$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 2,271$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.58 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Real Madrid | 16c | 2,188$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Arsenal | 38c | 2,094$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.38 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…ab20backed Real Madrid | 15c | 2,067$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…9e2cbacked Real Madrid | 16c | 1,944$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Real Madrid | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 1,822$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Real Madrid | 14c | 1,801$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid | 16c | 1,777$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Real Madrid | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Real Madrid | 7c | 1,635$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Real Madrid | 15c | 1,575$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…29b5backed Real Madrid | 63c | 1,567$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Real Madrid | 14c | 1,564$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Real Madrid | 12c | 1,500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Arsenal | 62c | 1,413$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.8 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Arsenal | 40c | 1,364$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.43 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Real Madrid | 5c | 1,353$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…b7b6backed Real Madrid | 15c | 1,290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e5…c4fcbacked Real Madrid | 15c | 1,221$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Real Madrid | 15c | 1,202$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Arsenal | 37c | 1,182$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.66 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4e71backed Arsenal | 41c | 1,110$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9305…f152backed Real Madrid | 12c | 1,098$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Real Madrid | 6c | 1,078$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a7c7backed Real Madrid | 13c | 1,058$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…f515backed Real Madrid | 13c | 1,002$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Real Madrid | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…c465backed Arsenal | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Real Madrid | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…109dbacked Real Madrid | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed Real Madrid | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Real Madrid | 10c | 997.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…649fbacked Arsenal | 43c | 961.84$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9d59backed Real Madrid | 15c | 835.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Real Madrid | 60c | 783.36$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Real Madrid | 15c | 777.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Real Madrid | 57c | 767.03$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.21 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Real Madrid | 14c | 749.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dac…b312backed Real Madrid | 15c | 744.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Arsenal | 39c | 724.42$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.82 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd38…09a8backed Real Madrid | 7c | 722$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Arsenal | 38c | 718.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Real Madrid | 14c | 713.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…7d42backed Real Madrid | 4c | 711.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…2af4backed Real Madrid | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Arsenal | 37c | 696.89$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Arsenal | 49c | 696.58$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.63 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed Real Madrid | 15c | 670.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Real Madrid | 40c | 659.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1a…babbbacked Real Madrid | 16c | 656.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…3e45backed Arsenal | 44c | 632.16$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…f5bbbacked Real Madrid | 60c | 630$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Real Madrid | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…3525backed Arsenal | 43c | 622.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Real Madrid | 25c | 621$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Real Madrid | 15c | 613.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d59…2589backed Arsenal | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…5c37backed Real Madrid | 16c | 590.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked Real Madrid | 14c | 573.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridthis page
- Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. DortmundBarcelona won
- Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter MilanInter Milan won
- Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston VillaPSG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.