TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,281,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,603,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,281,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 940 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x120a…6456backed Yes0c3,028,442$12,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,056.42911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-70.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6b…ee66backed Yes0c2,971,091$11,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,882.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb72…0f95backed Yes0c1,412,866$5,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,651.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a1…4560backed Yes0c1,384,032$5,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,536.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45be…33b4backed Yes0c1,352,481$4,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,057.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c1,326,060$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.18240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c1,257,081$3,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,478.912921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6e54backed Yes0c1,226,181$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,678.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ae…4565backed Yes0c1,218,588$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97df…a855backed Yes0c1,218,588$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b5…4f84backed Yes0c1,215,222$3,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.6760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x804b…cf87backed Yes0c1,191,848$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f09…c17cbacked Yes0c1,162,786$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7900…9499backed Yes0c1,125,150$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd375…d575backed Yes0c1,120,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36060%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437e…2144backed Yes0c1,117,452$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.36714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-79.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ee…9255backed Yes0c1,096,300$4,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf57f…2400backed Yes0c1,031,848$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes0c1,010,343$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,651.731010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+259.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes0c714,695$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.08150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c689,371$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.55244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c495,430$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.291915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c475,044$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.13110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes0c310,744$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.23484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c299,998$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.99147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Yes0c273,147$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x582f…e52fbacked Yes0c269,730$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.1960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…41c6backed Yes0c252,802$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.4160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c241,989$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.98190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e8…a597backed Yes0c210,177$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.53110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c200,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes0c188,750$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c184,379$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.75293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c182,746$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.73110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ce…5d60backed Yes0c171,557$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.67100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab86…be71backed Yes0c136,117$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Yes0c113,907$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.72130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c112,670$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.04160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c105,071$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.17422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb1…a443backed Yes0c104,165$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d3…ef16backed Yes0c103,533$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…5ebbbacked Yes0c90,229$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x407a…7f02backed Yes0c88,663$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe95a…6c44backed Yes0c81,084$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.25120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce5…5c7bbacked Yes0c80,275$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e2…037ebacked Yes0c80,274$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d82…73fabacked Yes0c80,274$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8133…e56fbacked Yes0c80,274$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf243…c8f2backed Yes0c80,274$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437d…2424backed Yes0c80,274$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.82120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e3…3192backed Yes0c80,257$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.77110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a97…99bebacked Yes0c80,209$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.63120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe07c…3c8bbacked Yes0c80,200$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30aa…a28bbacked Yes0c80,171$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.51120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcc…da42backed Yes0c80,142$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.43120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4e…c135backed Yes0c80,141$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.42120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8737…94d5backed Yes0c80,112$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.34137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-88.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70bc…4876backed Yes0c80,112$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.34120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…58d5backed Yes0c79,638$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.91100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf80…d3bbbacked Yes0c79,001$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…d249backed Yes0c78,772$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.32100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…4da5backed Yes0c77,849$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.55100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes0c76,548$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c4…c602backed Yes0c75,017$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.05110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a0…9870backed Yes0c74,293$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.88128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-87.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c9…1a1dbacked Yes0c73,790$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.37120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2328…107bbacked Yes0c73,790$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.37137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb572…f89dbacked Yes0c73,522$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.57120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c0…27c8backed Yes0c73,522$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.57137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc043…d2dabacked Yes0c73,522$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.57120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…cf07backed Yes0c73,255$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.76147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9116…f6f3backed Yes0c73,255$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.76120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb059…b2cabacked Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-89.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…88f9backed Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a7…7030backed Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82c…5500backed Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…5f1cbacked Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b84…b6c9backed Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ed…5359backed Yes0c73,225$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7499…2f1fbacked Yes0c73,223$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ee…dd04backed Yes0c73,223$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2729…a0cfbacked Yes0c73,223$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x957e…ed78backed Yes0c73,213$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.64130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0b1…8969backed Yes0c73,114$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.34128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-87.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25b9…b341backed Yes0c73,104$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.31110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f84…ec61backed Yes0c73,029$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452d…eba4backed Yes0c72,682$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.05147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2780…ba98backed Yes0c72,601$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d9b6backed Yes0c72,358$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.07130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a43…66cdbacked Yes0c72,046$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.14147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc9…10cdbacked Yes0c71,544$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.63110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd8…cf4cbacked Yes0c70,738$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.22130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…a759backed Yes0c70,569$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.71100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…42afbacked Yes0c70,223$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.67147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebb…7ee7backed Yes0c70,223$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.67130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb60…cfe0backed Yes0c69,533$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbabe…f07dbacked Yes0c69,270$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.81140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c69,205$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.82333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8b…57f2backed Yes0c69,095$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.28119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-76.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53b6…5399backed Yes0c68,309$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-90.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.