TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,261,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,031,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,261,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfee8…85a6backed Yes1c1,655,991$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,279.96137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick1cpaid+355.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Yes1c1,485,137$7,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425.68714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick1cpaid+847.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c715,976$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.9712921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c459,380$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.9333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c444,850$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.44190%0 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes0c350,026$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,657.4280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes0c234,206$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.62150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c225,683$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.73240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes0c194,999$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes0c150,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c133,390$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.07293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes0c130,105$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.674332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c124,984$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.94100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c113,586$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.153125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c110,967$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.191915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c92,293$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.68244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c67,043$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.95205%1 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes0c62,998$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.996817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c54,245$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.38422.4%1 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick0cpaid+138.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e9a…bce2backed Yes0c50,773$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdd…f6efbacked Yes1c48,061$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb527…4855backed Yes1c47,977$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfc…b0eebacked Yes1c47,977$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb1…0f8ebacked Yes1c47,845$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e7…53c3backed Yes1c47,570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e8…29e4backed Yes1c47,569$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcba…f43fbacked Yes0c44,500$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c43,121$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0411916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c43,078$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.28156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick1cpaid+250.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c42,999$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb3…bdd2backed Yes1c39,978$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…f0bdbacked Yes1c39,977$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73e…a284backed Yes1c39,799$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2f…bb79backed Yes1c39,700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes1c33,868$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.34110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d1…4326backed Yes0c33,729$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes1c30,701$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.52219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aab…22c6backed Yes0c30,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes0c26,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41dd…e98bbacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…c2febacked Yes1c25,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f0…a5eabacked Yes0c23,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2121…6127backed Yes0c22,657$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5c…74babacked Yes0c22,018$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…0f75backed Yes0c21,675$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e5…bc18backed Yes0c21,225$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes1c20,586$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.51147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c8…2defbacked Yes1c20,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes1c19,950$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb20d…0d11backed Yes1c19,167$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae2…b1d9backed Yes1c18,667$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953f…89febacked Yes1c18,333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c5…7575backed Yes1c18,333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf2…acc4backed Yes0c17,764$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c2…13d2backed Yes0c17,456$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ee…7182backed Yes1c16,500$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c15,998$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9910419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ae…c4bfbacked Yes1c15,123$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8b…e440backed Yes0c15,116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f6…592ebacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-86%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes1c14,951$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.722433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815e…442cbacked Yes0c13,888$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97be…8b1cbacked Yes0c13,793$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes0c13,664$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6680%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbab…1927backed Yes0c13,387$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c13,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f89…e17dbacked Yes0c12,970$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c12,916$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.05458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f7…f3d1backed Yes0c12,890$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59cb…e1cebacked Yes0c12,582$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28d…cdefbacked Yes0c12,558$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…a12bbacked Yes1c12,468$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick34cpaid-83.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3fe…619ebacked Yes1c12,400$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda7f…3495backed Yes0c12,287$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c12,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb381…13cdbacked Yes0c11,900$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5db…4903backed Yes0c11,860$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes1c11,492$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-82.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf084…e4c4backed Yes0c11,470$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…dadbbacked Yes0c11,120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba8…0db7backed Yes1c10,876$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.89714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf764…26e9backed Yes0c10,050$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8759…2786backed Yes0c10,028$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2178backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3485…8e84backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…ffa4backed Yes0c9,650$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7946…c8a8backed Yes0c9,450$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…6346backed Yes0c8,968$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…4d0fbacked Yes1c8,785$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ca…38b0backed Yes1c8,742$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee2…ebacbacked Yes0c8,719$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c8,601$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5281…cd90backed Yes0c8,589$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b58…ec68backed Yes0c8,435$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e97…7c06backed Yes0c8,220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd1…3729backed Yes0c8,055$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd24…6329backed Yes1c7,874$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff6…7965backed Yes0c7,774$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8013…c2cdbacked Yes0c7,569$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.