TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,397,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,249,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,397,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c551,488$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.9812921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c404,989$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.5311916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes1c360,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4304744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c359,166$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.84333%1 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes1c335,872$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+247.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes1c290,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c281,779$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.88240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes1c259,240$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.260%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c193,459$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.141915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-74.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes0c174,739$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.961330.8%4 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick14cpaid+147%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes1c174,245$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500280%0 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c156,868$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.49244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick0cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ee…7182backed Yes1c147,900$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c142,009$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.06484.2%2 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+54.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c142,000$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874293.4%1 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e61…9860backed Yes1c123,732$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.92150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes1c85,453$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.644835.4%17 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c78,135$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.323125.8%8 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c74,489$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1310419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af4…f813backed Yes1c70,103$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ba…74d8backed Yes0c70,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x181b…3930backed Yes1c69,952$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc917…a400backed Yes1c69,457$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6586…e33bbacked Yes1c69,292$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde2…4babbacked Yes1c69,197$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b2b…4616backed Yes1c68,826$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b33…97a1backed Yes1c68,685$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb019…fc88backed Yes1c68,672$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb323…93d7backed Yes1c68,598$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…1630backed Yes1c68,498$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb132…6913backed Yes1c68,265$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53d…6582backed Yes1c68,157$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…2be8backed Yes1c68,018$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055c…8165backed Yes1c67,917$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…7e06backed Yes1c67,898$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…e1ffbacked Yes1c67,717$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8b…bf20backed Yes1c67,425$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b1…7900backed Yes1c67,336$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…9005backed Yes1c67,331$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73df…8a0ebacked Yes1c67,316$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd34…7d53backed Yes1c67,297$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6031…d037backed Yes1c67,280$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a7…e689backed Yes1c67,242$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…14f1backed Yes1c67,232$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…26f5backed Yes1c66,631$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d0…abd1backed Yes1c66,288$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdda…1feabacked Yes1c66,235$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f1…94dabacked Yes1c66,160$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff94…d092backed Yes1c66,129$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x752f…dacabacked Yes1c65,882$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d0…cacabacked Yes1c65,811$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d92…6a3ebacked Yes1c65,809$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd23a…5d9dbacked Yes1c65,657$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…1a2fbacked Yes1c65,509$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…6ad7backed Yes1c65,505$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a6…eb56backed Yes1c65,425$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0779…7ffcbacked Yes1c65,381$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73b…b3c2backed Yes1c65,360$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb936…09abbacked Yes1c65,335$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7c…553ebacked Yes1c65,133$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06b…0b7cbacked Yes1c64,858$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9e…fd8dbacked Yes1c64,583$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4505…aebdbacked Yes1c64,535$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953d…8ef1backed Yes1c64,424$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc242…24b1backed Yes1c64,415$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf9…cb78backed Yes1c64,273$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe779…a763backed Yes1c64,118$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc419…ee59backed Yes1c64,057$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa34…a04ebacked Yes1c63,956$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee7…b4f3backed Yes1c63,877$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eae…e2edbacked Yes1c63,803$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cce…73d0backed Yes1c63,616$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d52…1825backed Yes1c63,482$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e44…a40ebacked Yes1c63,290$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79be…0778backed Yes1c63,199$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3026…39dabacked Yes1c63,159$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3359…1b22backed Yes1c63,127$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac04…c06abacked Yes1c62,925$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8b…96eebacked Yes1c62,902$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c62,816$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0b…3a2ebacked Yes1c62,686$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85f4…8c37backed Yes1c62,492$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…5a0dbacked Yes1c62,484$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf534…4474backed Yes1c62,458$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce5…285bbacked Yes1c62,371$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2569…9cb6backed Yes1c62,331$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08aa…cae8backed Yes1c61,983$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c06…e07fbacked Yes1c61,954$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dad…7e41backed Yes1c61,857$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb773…6e03backed Yes1c61,623$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb7…1226backed Yes1c61,556$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…436abacked Yes1c61,445$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc60f…cd1ebacked Yes1c61,229$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…b67fbacked Yes1c61,229$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd5…94acbacked Yes1c61,111$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2048…e604backed Yes1c60,957$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…5d57backed Yes1c60,860$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3cc…3d7abacked Yes1c60,860$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfca2…e008backed Yes1c60,860$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d9…5009backed Yes1c60,860$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.