Champions League · resolved market
Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f68f8726c496661aa48560424dda3203b709fb76abb79c29aa16d4eb8911fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,306,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,125,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,306,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 2,639,584$13,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,087.25 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 0c | 2,214,683$9,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,557.26 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,382,140$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.77 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 772,800$3,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,866.82 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 740,284$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.05 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 0cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…74f7backed Yes | 1c | 658,729$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Yes | 0c | 387,333$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 265,268$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.79 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 0c | 92,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 0c | 72,691$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 59,268$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 0cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…fa12backed Yes | 1c | 47,482$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…f778backed Yes | 1c | 47,274$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…7739backed Yes | 1c | 47,125$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…40e4backed Yes | 1c | 47,108$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…0205backed Yes | 1c | 39,108$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 38,835$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…85a6backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 1cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 28,142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 25,999$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…8393backed Yes | 0c | 25,249$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…8a00backed Yes | 1c | 19,286$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…4d01backed Yes | 1c | 19,143$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…50a2backed Yes | 1c | 18,840$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…9a67backed Yes | 1c | 18,429$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes | 1c | 17,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…eceabacked Yes | 1c | 17,143$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…75b4backed Yes | 1c | 16,259$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,528$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22c…704dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,931$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…04f1backed Yes | 1c | 14,571$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…06e3backed Yes | 1c | 14,429$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…1436backed Yes | 0c | 14,127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +572.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…be6dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,000$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 0c | 13,333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…8b35backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 0c | 10,352$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…787cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236c…5931backed Yes | 1c | 8,198$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…44e4backed Yes | 1c | 7,684$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…522cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,909$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…ab07backed Yes | 1c | 5,851$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…30c5backed Yes | 1c | 5,426$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…0e92backed Yes | 1c | 5,341$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…f1cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,094$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 0c | 5,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d04bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…592ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…ca86backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…124dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,714$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…8506backed Yes | 0c | 4,677$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…aa9ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…8581backed Yes | 1c | 3,571$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…de6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,571$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…47b3backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b3…4849backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…35c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,905$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…8cf5backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…2a21backed Yes | 1c | 2,413$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…d2c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…99f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,141$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…beddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,127$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…cf69backed Yes | 1c | 2,041$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3c…e57ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…851fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,692$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic win the UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? No won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Girona win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?Yes won
- Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Slovan Bratislava win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sporting CP win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.