NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0273e68e04266bb8c603d364fd18785bbf3222765f18d866e48855ed458f50e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $351,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 766 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls | 53c | 36,593$19,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,172.74 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 72c | 17,080$12,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,270.47 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Magic | 80c | 16,544$13,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,234.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bulls | 21c | 13,200$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,410.93 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Magic | 41c | 12,286$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 64c | 10,638$6,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.51 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 28c | 10,146$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,286.28 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls | 28c | 8,427$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bulls | 40c | 7,280$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.67 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 23c | 7,081$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 67c | 6,252$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.08 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic | 71c | 6,189$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.28 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 65c | 6,072$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.88 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 71c | 4,542$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.88 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Magic | 73c | 4,128$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 28c | 4,104$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.05 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Bulls | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Bulls | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Bulls | 35c | 2,927$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.44 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bulls | 30c | 2,666$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.12 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls | 29c | 2,450$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.27 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls | 27c | 2,295$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.42 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Bulls | 29c | 2,103$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Bulls | 27c | 1,943$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.38 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Magic | 71c | 1,859$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bulls | 29c | 1,698$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.36 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Magic | 71c | 1,634$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.27 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bulls | 26c | 1,588$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.74 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Magic | 67c | 1,545$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 24c | 1,511$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.1 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Magic | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 71c | 1,500$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.96 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Bulls | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…a553backed Magic | 73c | 1,355$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Magic | 71c | 1,330$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,324$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.97 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Magic | 70c | 1,234$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.8 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Magic | 68c | 1,223$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Bulls | 28c | 1,198$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Magic | 61c | 1,185$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Magic | 79c | 1,161$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.03 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Magic | 73c | 1,153$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bulls | 28c | 1,060$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.9 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…79f9backed Magic | 54c | 1,010$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…28ebbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bulls | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Bulls | 16c | 931.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.06 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 72c | 899.96$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.27 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 20c | 899.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.86 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 27c | 884.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.63 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…17b9backed Magic | 71c | 833.16$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic | 69c | 811.66$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.01 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls | 28c | 805$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.62 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 29c | 799.87$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.46 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Magic | 73c | 759.98$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.78 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bulls | 20c | 750$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…de1cbacked Magic | 72c | 725.43$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Bulls | 72c | 720$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bulls | 29c | 701.55$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.26 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Magic | 71c | 695.77$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…b17fbacked Bulls | 29c | 695.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bulls | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Bulls | 28c | 685.43$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls | 27c | 677.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.46 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 6c | 649.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 72c | 648$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bulls | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 72c | 601.1$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.79 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bulls | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 28c | 599$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.28 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 20c | 587.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Magic | 73c | 546.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 74c | 539.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bulls | 30c | 500$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.37 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Bulls | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 69c | 499.94$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.96 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bulls | 29c | 499.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…818bbacked Magic | 72c | 476.39$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Magic | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Magic | 75c | 419.49$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Bulls | 50c | 417.1$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed Magic | 71c | 408$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Magic | 74c | 402.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8254…d536backed Magic | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…5db5backed Bulls | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bulls | 25c | 399.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 27c | 388$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Bulls | 29c | 386.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.16 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 62c | 383.6$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Magic | 70c | 372.42$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls | 38c | 371.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.2 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Magic | 71c | 366.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls | 29c | 361.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.07 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…f35abacked Bulls | 30c | 355$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.