Movies · resolved market
Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ac0935ca22c18e17e600e31b569a2e9892f0727a35ccd9178095b725e909a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e5…a482backed Yes | 3c | 1,113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…ce55backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…cd3ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…4dddbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b6d5backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6087backed Yes | 11c | 911$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes | 7c | 746.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 10c | 704.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 32c | 645$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…2447backed Yes | 13c | 640.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 571.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 10c | 347.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 15c | 240$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 202.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 20c | 132.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…f489backed Yes | 18c | 111.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 19c | 103.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d4…80a7backed Yes | 44c | 101.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 16c | 94.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…85fabacked Yes | 43c | 84.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 22c | 81.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…2501backed No | 57c | 78.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 42c | 77.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 16c | 67.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 29c | 52.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccaa…9066backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…fd12backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…d125backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…f237backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…f17bbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…b3d2backed Yes | 45c | 24.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked No | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe608…0c2cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?this page
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90+?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-89?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.