Movies · resolved market
Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8fd9e0acbaf389e0ea744a20105d91e0de6bf50b4e7df8ddb157cc428a7644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d1b…537dbacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…71f2backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…11e0backed No | 42c | 2,450$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…22cfbacked No | 42c | 2,395$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,720$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…eef2backed No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…a482backed Yes | 11c | 1,431$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 36c | 1,383$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.35 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…c2fdbacked No | 42c | 1,300$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 13c | 1,252$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…31f6backed Yes | 58c | 1,250$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674e…91abbacked Yes | 58c | 1,225$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966b…1066backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…e126backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…8261backed No | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 50c | 1,111$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.44 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…af89backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…34c1backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6217…a07fbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc3…ddf3backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c7b4backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 25c | 630.31$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e6…801bbacked Yes | 25c | 589.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 492.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 423.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 16c | 407.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 54c | 382.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 12c | 359.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 59c | 353.05$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.3 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 45c | 340.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 34c | 309$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…4784backed Yes | 4c | 270.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 44c | 216.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked Yes | 36c | 128.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…0261backed Yes | 46c | 92.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 40c | 73.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 65c | 67.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…2501backed Yes | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…8322backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8700…e149backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…2653backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…13b2backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…53d1backed Yes | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +217.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc707…cab7backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…a546backed Yes | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…107ebacked No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 48c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…5d9bbacked No | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70-79?this page
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90+?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be below 60?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60-69?No won
- Will "Sonic 3" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-89?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.