Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8ae38374bcee506c5718c239d98e3ba750c7bd7547fc0b4870d6c387025add

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2ee…d511backed Yes	6c	981.83$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	74c	828.96$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.65	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	368.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	52c	180.09$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.03	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed Yes	19c	172.17$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	29c	157$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	72c	150$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	38c	144.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.43	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	51c	131.07$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.09	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes	29c	125.85$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51d…1578backed Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	51c	93$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.96	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d34…3e28backed Yes	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	63cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb92…68a4backed Yes	25c	79.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-5.5wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	39c	54.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	199	29.1%58 W · 141 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…51d5backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0855…ae26backed No	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed Yes	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No	28c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+5.0wins	+0.19per pick	34cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed No	71c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes	61c	39.97$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	60c	33.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	74c	31.09$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.2	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d7…5b28backed Yes	39c	26.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	59cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No	70c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event