TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Austria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,132 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42f4…04c6backed Yes17c5,573$946 inLost-$946.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb850…7597backed No3c541$14 inWon+$5271711.8%2 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick2cpaid+370.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No74c431.99$320 inWon+$112.3213957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes24c307$75 inLost-$74.782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No74c262.99$193 inWon+$69.6647648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes31c125.99$39 inLost-$38.7720142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost-$269644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes27c80$22 inLost-$21.62,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No68c78.99$54 inWon+$25.285014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No78c66$51 inWon+$14.5225443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e29…b3e1backed No73c58$42 inWon+$15.661275%9 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes27c55$15 inLost-$14.8576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes26c53$14 inLost-$13.7823543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…51d5backed No70c50$35 inWon+$151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No65c50$33 inWon+$17.52588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No78c40.16$31 inWon+$8.8445736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…b6afbacked No75c20$15 inWon+$5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x318e…9893backed No74c19.23$14 inWon+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed No72c19$14 inWon+$5.329446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No71c19$13 inWon+$5.5148140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No74c17$13 inWon+$4.4213855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.