TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,755 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No27c1,139$304 inLost-$303.5782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes65c662.64$431 inWon+$23247648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No34c457.98$154 inLost-$154.4310548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc681…109cbacked Yes72c299.8$216 inWon+$83.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes47c277.19$129 inWon+$147.725244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes51c220$113 inWon+$107.520142.8%86 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No52c160$82 inLost-$82.4166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02bb…d137backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon+$51.521844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+51.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes77c151.23$116 inWon+$35.1948636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No64c127$82 inLost-$81.685014%7 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-79.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes74c121$89 inWon+$31.917340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No45c108.57$49 inLost-$48.9713051.5%67 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed Yes36c80$28 inWon+$51.621058.1%122 W · 88 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes58c57.66$33 inWon+$24.2225443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No32c52.5$17 inLost-$16.816246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes57c50$29 inWon+$21.541231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No33c50$17 inLost-$16.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x547f…51d5backed No66c47$31 inLost-$31.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No26c43.51$11 inLost-$11.4914839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x601f…76adbacked Yes69c34.76$24 inWon+$10.792222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x176e…6925backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.31283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed No51c28.57$15 inLost-$14.571662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked Yes71c18.5$13 inWon+$5.374546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.