Will Ghana be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4003b2d5c5ea841447bd8f6fd9aa90a27a2fd33677bfdf061d6c33ca197d7a

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	54c	417.73$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.71	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48de…2d44backed Yes	48c	267$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.88	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	24c	110$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.2	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	59	74.6%44 W · 15 L	+8.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	46c	99.11$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.52	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	70c	60$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	59c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x22fa…8135backed Yes	41c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.5	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	54c	41.09$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.19	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x023d…3431backed Yes	30c	40$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fee…850abacked No	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	45c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	53c	25.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	53c	24.19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ghana be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event