Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a47545391d0a7fab5570a65154c168c1da0edf847ffd285de5cd16e86750e4

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,403 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	40c	1,336$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.22	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked No	59c	1,292$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.8	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked No	25c	636.9$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.5	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	51c	617.18$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.54	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	20c	509.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.3	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+11.1wins	+0.11per pick	38cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	67c	301.9$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.55	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	16c	221.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.28	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	75c	200$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.4	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…875abacked Yes	8c	121.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes	79c	100$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.64	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf204…3af0backed Yes	22c	55.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes	34c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	61c	32.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.45	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event