Will Algeria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cbb14d31d8053e5d433584f83ee1357634a0982d1ddadb069627e5274d9d603

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,459 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	60c	775.44$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.63	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	48c	768$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.99	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	38c	489.9$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.83	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes	62c	241.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.69	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No	66c	208$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.78	50	14%7 W · 43 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	68c	106.64$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.52	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	52c	104$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.77	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	28c	75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.7	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	38c	53.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683b…c863backed Yes	35c	53.16$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.46	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes	34c	51.84$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	218	36.2%79 W · 139 L	-19.0wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Yes	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	205	39%80 W · 125 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed No	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda94…bf02backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca84…801dbacked No	65c	21.83$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Algeria be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event