TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77c3…00c8backed Yes26c969$247 inLost-$247.181643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No78c769$600 inWon+$169.1835033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes59c282.77$166 inLost-$165.93961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes38c224.17$85 inLost-$85.3413855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No61c200$122 inWon+$782588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x984b…867abacked Yes74c154.08$114 inLost-$114.0230%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes29c121$35 inLost-$35.0925244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No49c109$53 inWon+$55.9166239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes40c108.13$44 inLost-$43.6347648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes30c105$31 inLost-$31.4517340.5%70 W · 103 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes28c100$28 inLost-$2815942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Yes28c100$28 inLost-$286341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost-$285143.1%22 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Yes23c89.83$21 inLost-$20.6625443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No26c75$20 inWon+$55.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes74c60$44 inLost-$44.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed Yes47c60$28 inLost-$28.21662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes28c55$15 inLost-$15.412945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes30c52.49$16 inLost-$15.7516246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes70c50$35 inLost-$3548636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c48.34$31 inWon+$17.082,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes74c39.35$29 inLost-$29.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No71c20$14 inWon+$5.811748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.46147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.