La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbca01758cb5dea24c28d535dc564c6cf10ed6d17cfefbd30d111696c54f8297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 76c | 9,149$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,953.11 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 74c | 7,500$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 7,471$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 26c | 5,944$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.67 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 24c | 3,238$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.5 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 3,137$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.04 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 17c | 2,881$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.51 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 74c | 2,093$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 1,997$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 74c | 1,890$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.9 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 1,586$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.18 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 20c | 1,526$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 1,473$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.28 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,392$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.2 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 1,100$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 48c | 844.29$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.76 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…8d68backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 618.19$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.02 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 26c | 465.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.38 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…e0e9backed Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 22c | 374.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…529fbacked No | 78c | 331.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 259.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 21c | 235.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 74c | 192.59$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 140.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 23c | 131.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 22c | 124.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 24c | 122$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 78c | 117.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 114.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 114.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 74c | 104$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…1eb7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 99.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 30cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 23c | 88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 26c | 76.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…8d59backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…2875backed Yes | 26c | 56.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 54.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.