La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb534501bea9a5799c7e56e9addfb99b91586e8eec663480f359f0804913bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 47c | 143,406$67,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,615.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 53c | 84,953$45,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,927.83 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 0c | 44,231$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 17,369$9,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.97 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 52c | 15,183$7,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,287.66 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 52c | 7,600$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 52c | 5,421$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.15 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 48c | 3,917$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 45c | 3,134$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.65 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 53c | 2,885$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 2,831$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 52c | 2,606$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Yes | 46c | 2,315$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…64f2backed No | 56c | 2,314$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…2360backed No | 57c | 2,213$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed Yes | 46c | 2,212$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 54c | 1,913$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.8 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 60c | 1,392$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.92 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…50f0backed Yes | 49c | 1,348$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked No | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 1,036$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.28 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 52c | 852$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.96 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 744.52$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 55c | 739.17$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 656.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.6 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 51c | 618.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.12 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 48c | 555$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.98 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 48c | 468.24$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 426.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 71c | 370.42$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 328$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked No | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…c886backed Yes | 38c | 294.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 290$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 185.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.37 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 23c | 174.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 60c | 167.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 52c | 157.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 35c | 142.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 37c | 115.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 45c | 113.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…4befbacked Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 60c | 100.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 41c | 93.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 44c | 91.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 31c | 73.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 38c | 63.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 53c | 58.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked No | 52c | 50.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…47f1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 54c | 33.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…126ebacked Yes | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…7c33backed Yes | 48c | 21.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Sevilla end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.