TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes42c12,183$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,059.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No58c10,751$6,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,187.0536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No60c6,088$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.6217053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes40c5,568$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.52080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No23c5,303$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.649244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c3,241$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.7744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No62c3,043$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.9712359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes39c2,585$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.185731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes39c2,581$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.374425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No59c2,427$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes75c2,165$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.2520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No61c1,843$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.3646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No62c1,800$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.9538048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2828639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes38c1,371$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.9116447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No64c1,004$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6316836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…207ebacked Yes40c870.34$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No62c845.11$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3938356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa1…c125backed Yes42c785.71$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No59c695.32$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.328748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Yes37c664.86$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.861540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes36c635.47$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0510931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No7c458.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf918…81f9backed Yes38c434.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No62c299.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.999752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes37c281$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4624…2c08backed Yes38c242.11$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c41…97c1backed Yes44c228.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.558433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes37c181.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0813534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes37c175.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3411145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51a0…4d82backed Yes44c159.09$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes37c153.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No62c149.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.973946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes38c139.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes38c131.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.582653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+83.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes39c127.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.914740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf8…3632backed Yes38c119.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…ad6ebacked No64c101.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6540%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes38c99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.382347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes36c85.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.583542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…e87fbacked No62c74.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98e6…aadbbacked Yes36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+111.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.793531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes38c64.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9711635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5607…40a0backed Yes37c61.19$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02aa…40c0backed Yes69c58.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac30…2538backed Yes37c51.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…2858backed No63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57846.2%36 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.224455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a05…59e1backed Yes38c42.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+166.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c3…e248backed Yes38c42.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ee…d511backed Yes36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes38c40.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.293112.9%4 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-72.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes38c39.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.472128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec93…bd94backed Yes38c39.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…94d6backed No62c35.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ef…64acbacked No63c34.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…5b9ebacked Yes38c33.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…759ebacked Yes38c30.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed No61c30.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a42…6c4cbacked Yes43c29.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…cb75backed No63c29.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3579…bd98backed No62c27.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+88.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf75d…c349backed No63c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1535…98a3backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+74.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb9…7a0ebacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+210.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02d…1ed1backed No63c24.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb760…2d02backed No62c23.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b3…9906backed No63c23.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0205…2555backed Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a9…e7abbacked Yes68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…8f38backed No64c16.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.