TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8834…73e8backed No73c9,990$7,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…adf4backed Yes27c9,990$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c1,371$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7230754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c1,267$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.2836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Yes27c1,248$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703040%12 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes26c845.32$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.781931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes28c786.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No74c771$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.462138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No73c699.99$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc79c…2be5backed Yes27c606.93$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes38c474.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.446527.7%18 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes26c470$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.92030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4532…d422backed No75c446.77$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70aa…9d39backed Yes27c374.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No73c278.74$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2617658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c267.29$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x784c…bde3backed No75c265.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5150…8539backed No75c262.72$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8491…fe5dbacked Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5cf…3c7ebacked Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes27c227.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3810341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x828f…fa80backed Yes22c222.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd631…0870backed Yes26c209$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes26c180.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8816836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked No79c157.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c153.68$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b51…9c96backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402035%7 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a70…7057backed Yes16c140$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc67…18c5backed No74c128$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes26c124$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.244032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes27c122.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.153351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4932…ba11backed Yes27c119.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb55d…84b0backed Yes27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes27c110.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7516447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes26c107.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048a…eb07backed Yes19c106.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-69.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3180…89b4backed Yes26c103$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…6204backed Yes26c102$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcabe…72e3backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6d…ee83backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf342…5f9dbacked No61c99.97$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+110.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.387440.5%30 W · 44 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2684…d3d6backed Yes28c88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e2…806fbacked Yes37c86.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fec…70f9backed Yes27c85.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No73c75.52$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.399160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5566…a752backed No74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf634…3c9ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x594c…4fd5backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ee…d511backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No75c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a1…16d2backed Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac4…68d3backed Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff87…0ac7backed Yes27c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x780c…3113backed Yes26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed37…5849backed No74c59.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74c…eab0backed Yes27c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…11bfbacked Yes26c57.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…a64bbacked Yes27c51.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25dd…1a7bbacked Yes29c51.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa346…baefbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid-30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4b…9ec7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fe…dba6backed No74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes23c45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes27c44.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8913238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51a0…4d82backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7033…163ebacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd018…47b3backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes39c37.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b35…dea5backed No74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee8…b801backed No74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcabb…c574backed No74c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x867e…08b7backed No74c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750e…7575backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bc…4198backed No74c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa066…4de9backed No73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.59350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a6…86c9backed No73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…f33cbacked No74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e1…dd17backed Yes39c28.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2915153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67520%1 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick68cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.