Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71d0b03f8e302d79394a8e180854d8184f442051f6eb6386a7eb215d61bd035b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 68c | 11,015$7,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,505.8 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 33c | 8,785$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.59 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…4f10backed No | 6c | 6,281$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 4,050$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c9…ee76backed Yes | 32c | 3,629$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 67c | 3,222$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.9 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…045cbacked Yes | 33c | 3,046$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 3,044$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.9 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 2,386$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.31 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 2,344$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.21 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 34c | 2,188$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.1 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 68c | 2,119$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.23 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 67c | 1,692$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 32c | 1,404$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 67c | 1,315$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.28 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 69c | 1,306$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.18 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,190$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,108$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.29 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 32c | 1,023$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.42 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.67 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 943.33$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.57 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 70c | 856.98$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.89 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.58 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 29c | 679.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 666.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.16 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Yes | 32c | 586.3$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes | 34c | 559.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 31c | 547.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…71cdbacked Yes | 32c | 525.41$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 30c | 504.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.77 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 71c | 499.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 32c | 499.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.96 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 32c | 430$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 31c | 427.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 69c | 413.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.64 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 71c | 400.96$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 398.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 375.39$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…cf36backed Yes | 34c | 364.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 69c | 363$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 317.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 35c | 308.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…dcc0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 32c | 300$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…3405backed Yes | 33c | 265.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 254.7$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…12d5backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 33c | 244.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 68c | 229.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 33c | 220$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 32c | 218$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 78c | 217.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 70c | 215.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed Yes | 57c | 203.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…58cabacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 32c | 192.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 22c | 180.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 69c | 174$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 32c | 171.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 28c | 168.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +336.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Yes | 32c | 161.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed No | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 29c | 160$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 30c | 149.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…bf03backed Yes | 34c | 145.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 69c | 144.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Yes | 34c | 142.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 30c | 135.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…b743backed Yes | 31c | 121.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 71c | 117.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 34c | 116.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…5250backed Yes | 31c | 107.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 31c | 101.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…6943backed Yes | 32c | 86.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 31c | 81.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4c7cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…79e9backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-26?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.