TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,546

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes36c7,045$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.93333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No58c6,212$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.8932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950c…76f2backed Yes42c4,296$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No71c3,401$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.1679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed No63c2,200$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8149148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes42c1,547$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.942454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c1,411$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes40c1,401$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.558750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed No68c1,256$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No68c1,244$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Yes41c1,193$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes35c1,126$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.6814732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed No61c990.33$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.233122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No60c979.85$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.945644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No58c881.9$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes39c789.77$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…ec44backed Yes41c779.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf29f…5ccabacked No55c737.52$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.883100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+336.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed No59c663.29$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.957241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes7c637.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No68c630.67$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c7…c12dbacked Yes4c512.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes43c467.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes31c399.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.985633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes43c372.09$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…5476backed Yes43c308.93$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13440%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes41c262.12$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4717447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes36c261.47$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.963737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes41c250.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8740135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes42c240.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes42c240$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.87934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7624062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c189.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No80c182.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5934251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf691…c596backed No58c179.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3143…7cccbacked Yes45c167.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes40c132.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c127$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f58…2b48backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No57c111.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9540254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1417…26dabacked Yes36c107.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.74633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf537…8d55backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Yes42c99.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.985853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8e…00c3backed Yes45c98.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…6f34backed Yes43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf86b…b2cbbacked No57c94.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5073…4976backed No57c93.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b15…0bf3backed No57c87.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed Yes35c85.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed No79c83.59$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.494261.9%26 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes44c81.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…58cabacked Yes38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No57c79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No59c76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No63c75.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62684.6%22 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No57c75.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2756158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Yes43c70.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1940…ac8dbacked Yes41c67.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No59c66.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.139561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed No57c66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a83…daf8backed Yes43c64.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1453…eac7backed Yes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes42c59.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…e8dfbacked Yes42c59.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…2043backed Yes44c57.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59750.5%49 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd050…4173backed No59c57.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6eb…3468backed Yes42c49.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes42c49.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f0…98dfbacked Yes42c48.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7de6…eebabacked Yes42c47.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Yes43c47.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed No59c47.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…c70cbacked Yes45c43.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…b2b1backed Yes42c40.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…e87fbacked No57c40.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.442369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d29…aaf0backed Yes42c40.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ee…80debacked Yes43c40.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c0…550ebacked No57c40.15$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c6…deafbacked No59c40.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e8…547ebacked Yes41c40.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Yes40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d4…dc09backed Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9120…e211backed No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0175…3b9abacked Yes41c39.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1669…db3fbacked No59c39.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2edd…26d6backed Yes42c39.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf04…372cbacked No58c39.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c4…fff3backed Yes44c39.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa3…fe25backed No56c39.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.