La Liga · resolved market
Copa Del Rey: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb4dd706edfbe90fd664d873301bd37986315388cbd9e6dbfe23ab65f2ab11a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Real Sociedad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Real Sociedad | 7c | 3,477$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Real Sociedad | 7c | 1,904$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Real Sociedad | 7c | 1,781$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Real Sociedad | 8c | 1,229$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…57bfbacked Real Sociedad | 7c | 1,130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…d854backed Real Sociedad | 9c | 1,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Real Sociedad | 15c | 930$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked Real Madrid | 65c | 688.2$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Real Sociedad | 7c | 510.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Real Madrid | 72c | 500.06$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Real Sociedad | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb5…14fdbacked Real Sociedad | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…a047backed Real Sociedad | 7c | 455$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Real Sociedad | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Real Madrid | 57c | 310$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Real Sociedad | 17c | 310$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…69f4backed Real Sociedad | 10c | 308.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Real Sociedad | 28c | 292.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6c15backed Real Sociedad | 53c | 291.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Real Sociedad | 55c | 237.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Real Sociedad | 31c | 212.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Real Sociedad | 21c | 186.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Real Sociedad | 30c | 185.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…60a9backed Real Sociedad | 27c | 185.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Real Sociedad | 8c | 160$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…f427backed Real Sociedad | 10c | 158.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Real Sociedad | 9c | 156.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Real Sociedad | 10c | 136.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Real Sociedad | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Real Sociedad | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 30cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Real Sociedad | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Real Sociedad | 30c | 82.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Real Sociedad | 47c | 67.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…caf9backed Real Sociedad | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…4e8bbacked Real Madrid | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed Real Madrid | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Real Madrid | 51c | 33.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Real Madrid | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Real Madrid | 75c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.