Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefadce9bbd3c167e0aa62272b1ffe86142cd15a432c99ca815d683d244fc86e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 44c | 6,156$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.76 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 5,100$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.91 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 12c | 4,705$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.9 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 69c | 4,391$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.07 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 2,403$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 72c | 2,260$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.04 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 32c | 1,256$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.37 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 68c | 1,253$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.09 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 33c | 1,218$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.78 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 69c | 1,199$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 1,112$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.12 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 32c | 1,064$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 67c | 1,056$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.19 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 31c | 807.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.59 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 67c | 800$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 31c | 734.55$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 35c | 658.57$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.07 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 635.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.08 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 66c | 591.96$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 31c | 589.48$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 52c | 568.8$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 42c | 568.76$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes | 31c | 481.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 19c | 398.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 33c | 380.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 68c | 375.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 42c | 370$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 33c | 358.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.17 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 70c | 316.38$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 70c | 315.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 32c | 291.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 31c | 290$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 70c | 286.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…05a1backed Yes | 32c | 274.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +92%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…d54ebacked Yes | 32c | 268.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 30c | 268.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 20c | 259.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 250.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 37c | 208.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 69c | 206.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 11c | 203.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…9c5ebacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80e…be5bbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…51ffbacked Yes | 33c | 195$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…bb36backed No | 67c | 195$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 30c | 169.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 143.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 68c | 130.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…515cbacked Yes | 31c | 127.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 32c | 125.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…da9ebacked No | 67c | 116$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…dc56backed Yes | 33c | 116$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 110.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…6b91backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…d0f4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 30c | 99.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…7036backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…72e0backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…7e8cbacked No | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…4c72backed Yes | 34c | 87.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 35c | 85.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 61c | 85.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…24d3backed Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…9966backed No | 67c | 85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed No | 69c | 84.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed Yes | 32c | 84.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…9789backed Yes | 33c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…6b5cbacked No | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…f560backed Yes | 66c | 74.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffa…23b5backed Yes | 33c | 73.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb558…6d77backed Yes | 63c | 72.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 31c | 70.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 70c | 68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 31c | 64.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 29c | 64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.