Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26bf266ad967062d494e7abc154e770c881941517593f0a79b057a2e56f939e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 1,864$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 1,708$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.44 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 76c | 1,630$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.11 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 2c | 1,462$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 1,299$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.16 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 18c | 655.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 73c | 483$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 412$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 26c | 386.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…c206backed Yes | 27c | 374.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes | 23c | 305.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…2fa3backed Yes | 26c | 268.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…2814backed Yes | 26c | 267.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 24c | 261.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 26c | 190.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 27c | 188.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 76c | 102$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…67c4backed Yes | 12c | 96.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 76c | 88.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 27c | 73.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 26c | 69.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…7497backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…ee3ebacked Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…bf66backed No | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc28…a26ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes | 25c | 49.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 28.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 35c | 28.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?Yes won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.