TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$236,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3503…b8babacked No54c71,725$38,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,993.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe215…93a7backed Yes45c71,026$31,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,961.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9966…c10bbacked No55c71,026$39,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,961.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Yes46c65,211$29,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,996.991050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes44c20,411$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,976.7379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No56c19,656$11,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,647.759754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No56c9,244$5,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.1814659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes46c7,355$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400.428070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes44c5,017$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.4832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.824829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108e…b3b1backed No57c3,650$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No55c3,554$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.027458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6176…41c9backed No58c3,463$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No55c2,909$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.0911548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes47c2,867$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.139235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes44c2,399$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5840640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes4c1,852$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes15c1,803$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.772615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes31c1,781$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.2337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No58c1,600$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.7614732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes45c1,549$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No54c1,285$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.1779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…3755backed Yes44c1,230$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d86…8a3fbacked Yes44c1,219$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…030ebacked Yes44c1,190$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b07…9fa0backed Yes44c1,169$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511b…cf0dbacked Yes44c1,155$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5e…0d82backed Yes44c1,145$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x651f…c190backed Yes44c1,040$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.151741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c93…d494backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes45c933.33$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf7f…00c2backed No56c884.86$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes27c792.1$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e39…7497backed Yes3c617.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes42c590$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c527.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes41c500.67$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.348747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No55c480.95$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4315636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No65c480.71$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2528355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes42c479.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1363240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1761250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes46c374.39$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.225349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Yes46c369.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked No56c358.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.339242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed No55c340.29$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.135740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No55c280$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259a…053abacked No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1db…846abacked Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8836…ae4fbacked Yes40c183.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa28e…ed17backed Yes42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4429653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a0…e0c2backed No58c168$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3e…41ccbacked Yes42c168$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x130a…f07bbacked Yes42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…e01fbacked No58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes28c156.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.332941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d49…5ec5backed Yes42c155$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3c…00f2backed No58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes42c154.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.140135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0eb…59c8backed Yes42c144$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d5…dc52backed No58c144$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3809…4391backed No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1e…c1abbacked Yes42c140$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481f…833cbacked Yes42c135$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860b…e6a3backed No58c135$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…c87ebacked No56c135$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2372…c9a0backed Yes44c135$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e6…fdbfbacked Yes42c130$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.349756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff3…88e9backed No58c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes47c126$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2214062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8b4…78a1backed Yes42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…6946backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No57c124.4$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x155e…60e3backed Yes42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5dc…7ee2backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d2…7531backed No58c111$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d1c…df20backed Yes42c111$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked No57c104.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6d…7653backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4004…fa48backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…555bbacked Yes42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…7aa6backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…d5eebacked No58c96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…939ebacked Yes42c96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f76…c09abacked Yes42c95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3e…efcfbacked No58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a39…2570backed No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8634…f57abacked Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…0d19backed No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd003…2aa1backed No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…cc26backed No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e6…9305backed Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd3…7bf9backed No58c90$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.