Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb757f040dbcc488b5b161eb0ea9ca1116d5becff601d66c624a39fb1e333ed9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 2,950$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.49 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 2,496$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.37 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 39c | 1,900$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,833$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 1,754$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.37 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 62c | 999.61$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.76 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 41c | 479.43$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 42c | 380$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 62c | 298.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 215.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 52c | 194.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 59c | 136.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 10c | 107.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 40c | 106.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 39c | 88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 40c | 78.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 24.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.