Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08292bf2ff3f7091bf47ac4c88a4dd76a5ea7b77cba21b19628584cba581b1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 780$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 363.49$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 347.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 30c | 306$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 68c | 195.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 71c | 176.77$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 174$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 70c | 164.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 70c | 49.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 40.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Angers SCO vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.