Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d7bbe7059ddc7a9c73d7a1ac214c1093988c3348788d64320c669ebace4d693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $261,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 61c | 125,842$76,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,416.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 70,045$35,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,254.72 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 62c | 44,999$27,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,865.93 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 39c | 32,335$12,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,742.23 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 39c | 15,521$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,490.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…7b4fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,088$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9d3cbacked No | 61c | 2,087$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…3428backed Yes | 40c | 2,048$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…4c3bbacked No | 62c | 2,047$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…57e6backed Yes | 40c | 2,042$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ec…57d6backed No | 61c | 2,041$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Yes | 40c | 2,035$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…0ca8backed No | 62c | 2,026$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 44c | 1,954$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.34 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 14c | 1,878$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,682$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.14 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 1,499$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 11c | 1,409$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 66c | 1,347$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,087$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.36 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 56c | 1,045$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 39c | 1,041$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 39c | 1,032$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.7 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 62c | 920$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 10c | 883.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 819.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 757$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.42 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed No | 62c | 560$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 38c | 423.47$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x542d…63cdbacked Yes | 41c | 383.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec3…6ed4backed No | 60c | 381.13$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 360$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 56c | 294$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 41c | 282$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 37c | 271.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 55c | 260$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 41c | 246.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Yes | 38c | 162.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 59c | 152.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 38c | 112.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…74c5backed Yes | 72c | 104.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 29c | 103.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 38c | 87.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 85.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 57c | 73.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 79c | 60.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…6fecbacked Yes | 75c | 52.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 39c | 40.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…93f4backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Udinese end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.