Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Udinese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09668fa3cb1d28351a25fcbca5abba7a244c4f413833786aa51754dba196c1bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 32c | 40,015$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 11c | 2,295$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.55 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,252$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.39 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 823.49$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 806.9$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.85 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 660$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…2989backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 24c | 300.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 208.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 68c | 190.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 27c | 170$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 168$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 29c | 133.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…bfb1backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 79c | 50.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed No | 70c | 48.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Udinese end in a draw?this page
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28?Yes won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.